Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 6

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	DirecTV Sports


	Cartagena		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.2
	3.3	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.47	3.06	2.38
	3.4	3.04	2.34	Watch
	3.38	3.04	2.34	Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.74)	3.02 ↓ (3.28)	2.3 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
27.8%

Draw
31.2%

Cádiz
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Cartagena - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Cádiz will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 2. Moreno J. 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A. 17. Andy 18. Musto D. 8. Munoz L. 20. Izquierdo J. 9. Ortuno A. (C) 34. Gonzalez H.	1. Gil D. (C) 20. Carcelen I. 5. Chust V. 24. Antonio Cristian 18. Matos Jose 17. Escalante G. 6. San Emeterio F. 4. Alcaraz R. 10. Ocampo B. 16. Ramos C. 22. Ontiveros J.
Substitutes
26. Andugar A. 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 6. Mini 30. Reyes J. (G) 3. Rios Reina J. 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 23. Teguia C. 7. Valles G.	11. Alejo I. 33. Cabrera J. 13. Caro J. (G) 19. De la Rosa J. A. 27. Diakite M. 8. Fernandez A. 12. Kouame R. 14. Kovacevic B. 15. Mwepu F. 31. Perez A. (G) 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.
Coaches
Abelardo A.	Lopez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ramos C. ⚽, Antonio Cristian (A),
30', Vukcevic A. 🟨,
32', Munoz L. 🟨,
37', Ocampo B. 🟨,
45+3', Escalante G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Munoz L. ⚽, Izquierdo J. (A),
60', Alcaraz R. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
60', Ocampo B. ↓, Alejo I. ↑,
64', Gonzalez H. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
68', Munoz L. ↓, Mini ↑,
68', Ortuno A. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
76', San Emeterio F. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
76', Ontiveros J. ↓, Sobrino R. ↑,
77', Kouame R. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Ramos C. ⚽, Alejo I. (A),
81', Andy ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
81', Vukcevic A. ↓, Rios Reina J. ↑,
90', Ramos C. ↓, Mwepu F. ↑,
90+2', Sobrino R. 🟨,
90+6', Musto D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0.

Cartagena is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cádiz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cádiz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.24	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Eldense - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Burgos - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.24	Cádiz - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
09.09.24	Castellón - Cádiz	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Cádiz - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Levante - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.01.16	Cartagena - Cádiz	0:1
29.08.15	Cádiz - Cartagena	4:2
26.04.15	Cádiz - Cartagena	2:0
07.12.14	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:3
27.04.14	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:1
10.12.13	Cádiz - Cartagena	0:0
10.03.13	Cartagena - Cádiz	2:0

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