Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 36

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, #Vamos
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Cartagena		Granada

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.42	Watch
	7	4.1	1.41
	7.8	4.2	1.42	Watch
	8.3	4.4	1.44
	8.2	4.28	1.44	Watch
	8	4.3	1.44	Watch
	5.2	3.6	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.43 ↑ (5.59)	4.17 ↑ (3.73)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
12.6%

Draw
22.4%

Granada
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

24.1%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Granada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Cartagena - Granada Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cartagena (4.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Granada will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Granada will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagena (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Granada (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 2. Moreno J. 22. Olivas K. 20. Nacho 16. Machin J. 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 6. Mini 32. Luna D. 14. Millan A. 33. El Jebari S.	25. Marino D. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Rubio M. 24. Williams L. 15. Neva C. 23. Trigueros M. 20. Ruiz S. 11. Tsitaishvili G. 6. Hongla M. 21. Rebbach A. 7. Boye L.
Substitutes
4. Alcala P. 17. Andy 11. Clemente O. 21. Delmas J. 10. Escriche D. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 38. Nunez R. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A.	30. Balde S. 17. Baston B. 3. Brau M. 5. Insua P. 18. Jozwiak K. 16. Lama M. 13. Martinez M. (G) 19. Reinier 26. Rodelas S. 12. Sanchez R. 8. Villar G. 9. Weissman S.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
22', Trigueros M. 🟨,
24', Machin J. 🟨,
28', Millan A. (Pen),
29', 1 - 1, Rubio M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Boye L. ⚽, Hongla M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 3, Trigueros M. ⚽, Neva C. (A),
56', Machin J. ↓, Andy ↑,
56', Mini ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
56', El Jebari S. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
60', Rebbach A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 3, Nunez R. ⚽, Escriche D. (A),
65', Rebbach A. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
66', Trigueros M. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
72', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
72', Millan A. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
75', Moreno J. 🟨,
76', Ndiaye Dione A. ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
80', Boye L. ↓, Baston B. ↑,
80', Hongla M. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
90', Rubio M. ↓, Lama M. ↑,
90+2', Aguirregabiria M. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Cartagena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Granada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Granada is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Cartagena: Munoz L. (Knee Injury) Valles G. (Injury)

There will not play in Granada: Brau M. (Muscle Injury) Weissman S. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
13.04.25	Almería - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cartagena - Eldense	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Cartagena - Castellón	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Cartagena - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTTL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
13.04.25	Albacete Balompié - Granada	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Granada - Almería	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Tenerife - Granada	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.24	Granada - Cartagena	4:1
08.01.23	Granada - Cartagena	1:0
30.10.22	Cartagena - Granada	0:0

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