The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Ana 33.5%
Draw 29.6%
Cartagines 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
30%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
29.3%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Santa Ana - Cartagines Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Santa Ana will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Cartagines will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Ana: 9.6% – 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pemberton P. (C) 2. Lopez L. 24. Meneses Salazar M. J. 6. Madrigal J. 15. Chevez A. 10. Martinez J. 19. Castro G. 21. Juarez F. 39. Villalobos M. 70. Astua B. 33. Casado E.
1. Briceno K. (G) 12. Quiros J. 2. Cordero R. 20. Mesen D. 25. Michel K. 7. Guevara A. (C) 15. Flores L. 16. Martinez C. 10. Nunez C. 21. Urena M. 9. Quiroga M.
Substitutes
44. Bonilla J. 17. Camareno J. 50. Masis D. 95. Nixon Guylherme 28. Ortiz K. 35. Rojas D. (G) 11. Torres A.
22. Batiz J. 4. Espinoza K. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 34. Hidalgo D. (G) 8. Lopez D. 6. Venegas J. 24. Zuniga S.
Coaches
Salomon C.
Carevic A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Martinez C. ↓, Espinoza K. ↑,
39', 0 - 1, Quiroga M. ⚽, Cordero R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Astua B. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
50', Juarez F. 🟨,
61', Martinez J. ↓, Nixon Guylherme ↑,
68', Michel K. ↓, Batiz J. ↑,
69', Guevara A. ↓, Zuniga S. ↑,
69', Castro G. ↓, Camareno J. ↑,
78', Urena M. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
78', Mesen D. ↓, Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↑,
79', Madrigal J. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
79', Nixon Guylherme 🟥,
90', Chevez A. 🟨,
90+2', Nunez C. 🟨,
90+4', Meneses Salazar M. J. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 5).
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Ana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Ana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1