Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza (Cartago)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cartagines		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	2.25	2.81	4.01
	2.15	3.13	3.42	Watch
	2.26	2.63	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)	2.86 ↑ (2.2)	3.69 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagines
42%

Draw
32.7%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

41.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

40.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Tegucigalpa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Tegucigalpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Cartagines - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cartagines will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Briceno K. (C) 5. Pereira M. 20. Mesen D. 23. Rubio E. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 31. Mora J. 15. Flores L. 24. Zuniga S. 22. Batiz J. 21. Urena M. 7. Venegas J.	1. Menjivar E. (C) 2. Hernandez E. 7. Pinto J. 8. Rodriguez E. 3. Queiroz F. 9. Benguche J. 5. Rivas E. 15. Guity K. 20. Maldonado A. 19. Arboleda Y. 23. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
26. Alfaro B. 18. Barahona C. 30. Brizuela B. 32. Carrillo J. 17. Castrillo D. 2. Cordero R. 27. Gutierrez M. 34. Hidalgo D. (G) 6. Montero C. 33. Moya C. (G) 9. Quiroga M. 29. Vargas N.	12. Arzu M. 27. Bengtson J. 33. Chirinos M. 4. Garcia J. 44. Lobo E. 34. Lopez K. 70. Moncada D. 14. Montiel M. 32. Mulet A. 22. Salazar A. (G) 31. Sanchez C. 30. Solano E.
Coaches
Carevic A.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Chirinos M. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Benguche J. ⚽, Arboleda Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mora J. ↓, Montero C. ↑,
46', Zuniga S. ↓, Alfaro B. ↑,
46', Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↓, Quiroga M. ↑,
57', Pereira M. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Urena M. ⚽,
77', Arboleda Y. ↓, Mulet A. ↑,
77', Chirinos M. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
77', Rivas E. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
81', Menjivar E. 🟨,
81', Benguche J. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑,
83', Sanchez C. 🟨,
90', Pinto J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
90+1', Batiz J. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
90+1', Venegas J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Cartagines is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Olimpia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Cartagines has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cartagines is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.09.25	Cartagines - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
18.09.25	Cartagines - Pérez Zeledón	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	San Carlos - Cartagines	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Cartagines - Herediano	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Cartagines - Puntarenas FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWT
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
21.09.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:3 ✺
18.09.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Génesis PN	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Xelajú	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

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