Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 5

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Olimpia Tegucigalpa		Xelajú

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.33
				Watch
	1.67	3.55	5.95
	1.75	3.58	4.44	Watch
	1.73	3.59	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.04)	3.51 ↑ (2.5)	4.85 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
54.2%

Draw
26.6%

Xelajú
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

36.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

36.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Tegucigalpa's performance.

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Tegucigalpa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Xelajú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Rivas E. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Bengtson J. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Benguche J. ⚽, Rodriguez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Xelajú is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Olimpia is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Platense	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.25	Águila - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.25	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Juticalpa	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Hércules - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTTW
- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.25	Municipal - Xelajú	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Guastatoya	5:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
14.08.25	Xelajú - Real Estelí	4:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.08.25	Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Xelajú - Águila	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.08.23	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Xelajú	2:0

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