Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Casa Pia		Leixões

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.2
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.2	4.9
	1.73	3.4	4.8
	1.78	3.39	5.56
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.72	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.69)	3.34 ↓ (3.44)	4.85 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
53.4%

Draw
27.6%

Leixões
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

21.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Casa Pia - Leixões Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion) and 13).

Recent matches Casa Pia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leixões is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casa Pia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casa Pia is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.22	Vilafranquense - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.12.21	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.12.21	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
13.12.21	Estrela da Amadora - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
02.12.21	Casa Pia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
18.12.21	Nacional - Leixões	2:0 ✺
11.12.21	Leixões - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
04.12.21	Porto B - Leixões	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Leixões - Trofense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.21	Tondela - Leixões	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.21	Casa Pia - Leixões	1:1
13.09.20	Leixões - Casa Pia	2:2
12.10.19	Leixões - Casa Pia	1:0

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