Match Info

Date: 2 December 2021, Thursday


	Casa Pia		Varzim

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.1	7.25
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.41	4.3	7.4
	1.43	4.69	8.11
	1.42	4	8
	1.39	4.4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.63)	4.24 ↑ (3.76)	7.69 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
65.9%

Draw
22%

Varzim
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

20.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casa Pia's performance.

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varzim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	15.7%	5.9%

Casa Pia - Varzim Predictions

Users Predictions: Casa Pia will win (40 of 51 users predict this - 78.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.14% – 89.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Casa Pia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varzim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Casa Pia is indisputable favorite.

In this match Casa Pia is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
26.11.21	Farense - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.11.21	Casa Pia - Farense	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.21	Casa Pia - Académica Coimbra	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Feirense - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTW
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
27.11.21	Varzim - Penafiel	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.21	Porto B - Varzim	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Varzim - Vilafranquense	0:2 ✺
27.10.21	Varzim - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.21	Casa Pia - Varzim	3:0
17.01.21	Varzim - Casa Pia	0:1
19.01.20	Casa Pia - Varzim	2:2

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