Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Casa Pia		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.37	3.64
	2.19	3.37	3.64
	2.05	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.44	3.54	Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)	3.37 ↓ (3.38)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
44.7%

Draw
28.1%

Vizela
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Vizela aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Casa Pia - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Batista R. (G) 3. Nunes J. 15. Varela F. (C) 19. Zolotic N. 72. Larrazabal G. 80. Pablo Roberto 8. Neto 5. Lelo L. 79. Jaja 30. Felippe 11. Soma Y.	97. Buntic F. (G) 82. Costa Silva T. 3. Wilson Valdez B. R. 25. Escoval R. 5. Anderson Jesus 34. Ortiz P. 20. Samu (C) 17. Lacava M. 90. Nascimento D. 79. Moreira N. 99. Essende S.
Substitutes
99. Clayton 23. Fernando Andrade 18. Geraldes A. 96. Justo S. 68. Lucas Paes (G) 16. Mukendi B. 22. Serobyan A. 2. Tchamba D. 77. Tiago Dias	22. Busnic A. 7. Jardel 19. Lebedenko O. 8. Mendez A. 2. Oliveira H. 23. Rashid O. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 14. Saint-Louis D. 29. Soro A.
Coaches
Martins F.	Villar P.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior.

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Casa Pia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Casa Pia have a series of guest games.

Casa Pia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Casa Pia: Brito R. (Injury) Kiki (Injury)

There will not play in Vizela: Lebedenko O. (Injury) Mrezigue H. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese League Cup
01.11.23	Braga - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.10.23	Benfica - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Rabo de Peixe - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.10.23	Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
02.10.23	Gil Vicente - Casa Pia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TTWLL
- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
29.10.23	Vizela - Porto	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Atlético CP - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.10.23	Farense - Vizela	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Vizela - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
01.04.23	Vizela - Casa Pia	3:1
09.10.22	Casa Pia - Vizela	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
20.02.21	Vizela - Casa Pia	3:1
27.09.20	Casa Pia - Vizela	1:1
Taça de Portugal
20.10.19	Casa Pia - Vizela	1:3

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