The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casa Pia 44%
Draw 29.7%
Estrela da Amadora 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
27.4%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 2.5% – 64.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sequeira P. (G) 27. Kaique Rocha 6. Fonte J. (C) 43. Sousa D. 72. Larrazabal G. 24. Mohamed I. 74. Nhaga R. 18. Geraldes A. 29. Livolant J. 90. Cassiano 7. Nsona K.
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 79. Chernev A. 30. Luan Patrick 83. Otavio 17. Encada J. 19. Moreira P. 6. Ngom O. 55. Cabral S. 18. Meireles J. 98. Kikas (C) 99. Marcus A.
Substitutes
22. Azevedo D. (G) 12. Benaissa-Yahia F. 8. Brito R. 4. Goulart J. 14. Miguel Sousa 13. Osundina K. 42. Perez S. 10. Rocha Livramento D. 17. Severina X.
80. Alisson Souza 22. Grilo D. (G) 11. Jovane 21. Montoia G. 8. Robinho 9. Rodrigo Pinho 4. Semeu 63. Sola A. 10. Stoica I.
Coaches
Santana A.
Silva L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
34', 1 - 0, Cassiano ⚽, Nsona K. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Kikas ⚽, Marcus A. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Cabral S. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 2 - 2, Mohamed I. ⚽,
53', Otavio 🟨,
55', Meireles J. ↓, Jovane ↑,
55', Otavio ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
61', Sequeira P. 🟨,
65', 2 - 3, Cabral S. (Pen),
67', 2 - 4, Moreira P. ⚽, Kikas (A),
71', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
73', Larrazabal G. ↓, Rocha Livramento D. ↑,
73', Kaique Rocha ↓, Severina X. ↑,
74', Moreira P. 🟨,
75', Fonte J. 🟨,
78', Mohamed I. ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
79', Nhaga R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
82', 2 - 5, Cabral S. ⚽,
85', 3 - 5, Fonte J. ⚽,
89', Encada J. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
89', Marcus A. ↓, Robinho ↑,
90+1', Fonte J. ↓, Benaissa-Yahia F. ↑,
90+6', Sola A. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 3.
Casa Pia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Estrela is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Casa Pia could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Knee Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
Prieto K.
(Inactive)
Tchamba D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Estrela: Semeu
(Injury)
There are questionable in Casa Pia: Conte A.
(Inactive)
Mandic I.
(Inactive)
Sequeira P.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Estrela: Alisson Souza
(Inactive)
Jovane
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Estrela da Amadora - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Portugal
Ukraine
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Sequeira P. (G) 
Kaique Rocha 
Fonte J. (C) 
Larrazabal G. 
Mohamed I. 
Nhaga R. 
Livolant J. 
Chernev A. 
Ngom O. 
Cabral S. 
Marcus A. 
Osundina K. 
Perez S. 
Severina X. 
Semeu 
Sola A. 
Stoica I. 
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