Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ezio Scida (Crotone)

Referee: Mastrodomenico L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Crotone		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.20	2.10
	2.90	3.10	2.15	Watch
	3.37	3.45	2.27
	3.03	3.36	2.18	Watch
	3.30	3.00	2.20
	3.08	3.30	2.08	Watch
	3.05	3.30	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.89)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
29.5%

Draw
28.2%

Salernitana
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Crotone - Salernitana Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (C) 63. Veltri A. 13. Armini N. 26. Tanco G. J. 23. Groppelli F. 99. Crapisto F. 80. Grosso F. 37. Barcella K. 18. Tordini M. 10. Musso A. 96. Zunno M.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 16. Llano Massa M. T. 5. Celiento D. 73. Pieraccini S. 33. Anastasio A. 7. Achik I. 8. Tascone M. (C) 32. Vitale M. 14. Villa L. 11. D'Ursi E. 20. La Gumina A.
Substitutes
28. Andreoni C. 74. Bashi E. 11. Brignola E. 19. Feola W. 25. Guerra W. 22. Lucano A. (G) 44. Pierangeli L. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 31. Rodriguez P. 83. Ruggiero Z. 17. Russo D. 5. Russo L. 7. Stauciuc B. 8. Torres I.	99. Bevilacqua M. 21. Boncori L. 19. Capuano M. 77. Cardoni K. 1. Cevers L. (G) 6. de Boer K. 27. Del Pin A. 4. Gyabuaa E. 10. Lescano F. 28. Longobardi G. 17. Varela Djamanca M. 3. Zoia R.
Coaches
Greco L.	Cosmi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Musso A. ⚽, Armini N. (A),
12', Vitale M. 🟨,
20', Armini N. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Zunno M. ⚽, Veltri A. (A),
24', 2 - 1, Villa L. ⚽,
28', Merelli D. 🟥,
32', Tordini M. ↓, Pio Martino A. ↑,
37', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Anastasio A. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
46', Vitale M. ↓, Gyabuaa E. ↑,
74', Achik I. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
75', 🟨,
75', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
76', Groppelli F. ↓, Andreoni C. ↑,
76', Musso A. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
76', Grosso F. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
87', Tascone M. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
87', Crapisto F. ↓, Bashi E. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 9th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 1.

Crotone is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Salernitana is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Crotone may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Crotone has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:7 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Crotone against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12
20	Crotone	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	0

Last Results with these Odds

Crotone - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.82%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Salernitana - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
20.09.26	Monopoli - Crotone	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Crotone - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Savoia - Crotone	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Crotone - Barletta	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Sorrento - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTL
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
19.09.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Barletta - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Salernitana - Potenza	4:2 ✺
06.09.26	Salernitana - Cavese	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Foggia - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.03.26	Crotone - Salernitana	0:1
10.11.25	Salernitana - Crotone	0:0
Italian Serie B
17.07.20	Crotone - Salernitana	1:1
15.12.19	Salernitana - Crotone	3:2
10.03.19	Salernitana - Crotone	0:2
28.10.18	Crotone - Salernitana	1:1
21.02.16	Salernitana - Crotone	1:1

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