Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Vogherese		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.2	2.42
	2.59	3.26	2.5	Watch
	2.57	3.18	2.45
	2.62	3.14	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.44)	3.2 ↓ (3.43)	2.47 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vogherese
35%

Draw
28.3%

Real Calepina
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The chances for Real Calepina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Vogherese - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Oboe M. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Oboe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 2, Castegnaro J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Recent form of Vogherese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Real Calepina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vogherese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Real Calepina	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Breno - Vogherese	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Vogherese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vogherese - Milan Futuro	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Caldiero Terme - Vogherese	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Vogherese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTL
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.01.26	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	1:0 ✺
06.01.26	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Scanzorosciate - Real Calepina	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Real Calepina - Sondrio	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
21.09.25	Real Calepina - Vogherese	2:2

Vogherese - Real Calepina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide