Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Casertana		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.25
	2	3.4	3.2
	2.2	3.3	2.85
	2.12	3.2	3
	2.09	3.44	3.04
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.14	3.4	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.81)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
41.3%

Draw
27.6%

Paganese
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.8%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

20.7%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casertana's performance.

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paganese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casertana - Paganese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Paganese is Serie C to Play Out

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Casertana won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Casertana won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
25.04.21	Catania - Casertana	3:0 ✺
18.04.21	Casertana - Juve Stabia	2:3 ✺
15.04.21	Monopoli - Casertana	0:1 ✺
12.04.21	Viterbese - Casertana	5:2 ✺
03.04.21	Casertana - Palermo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
25.04.21	Paganese - Potenza	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Foggia - Paganese	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	Monopoli - Paganese	3:1 ✺
27.03.21	Bari - Paganese	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Paganese - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.01.21	Paganese - Casertana	1:3
01.12.19	Casertana - Paganese	1:3
24.03.19	Paganese - Casertana	2:2
24.11.18	Casertana - Paganese	4:1
31.03.18	Paganese - Casertana	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.12.17	Casertana - Paganese	0:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group C
11.11.17	Casertana - Paganese	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.26	Giugliano - Casertana	✺

Casertana - Paganese