Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Casertana		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.2
	3.25	2.7	2.3
	3.7	2.55	2.25
	3.6	2.6	2.23
	3.93	2.66	2.32
	3.5	2.8	2.3
	3.58	2.75	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.78)	2.71 ↓ (2.81)	2.27 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
25.7%

Draw
33.9%

Palermo
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

32.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

23.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casertana's form might have worsened.

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palermo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palermo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casertana - Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Palermo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Casertana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
21.03.21	Casertana - Cavese	2:1 ✺
17.03.21	Bari - Casertana	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Casertana - Bisceglie	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Vibonese - Casertana	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Casertana - Virtus Francavilla	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLTW
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.21	Paganese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Palermo - Juve Stabia	2:4 ✺
03.03.21	Catania - Palermo	0:1 ✺
27.02.21	Viterbese - Palermo	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Palermo - Catanzaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
13.12.20	Palermo - Casertana	2:0

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