Match Info

Date: 20 October 2021, Wednesday


	Paganese		Potenza

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.35	2.8	3
	2.37	2.9	2.85
	2.41	2.92	3.12
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.36	3.04	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.05 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paganese
39.2%

Draw
30.9%

Potenza
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

20.3%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paganese - Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.21	Nuova Monterosi - Paganese	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Paganese - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Campobasso - Paganese	2:0 ✺
29.09.21	Paganese - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Bari - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWT
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.21	Potenza - ACR Messina	2:3 ✺
10.10.21	Potenza - Fidelis Andria	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Vibonese - Potenza	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Avellino - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
25.04.21	Paganese - Potenza	0:0
10.01.21	Potenza - Paganese	1:0
15.12.19	Potenza - Paganese	1:0
03.02.19	Paganese - Potenza	3:4
06.10.18	Potenza - Paganese	1:1

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