Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 31

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Uno
World	Onefootball


	Catania		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.85	6.3	Watch
	1.48	3.93	7.51
	1.46	3.91	6.75	Watch
	1.44	3.5	6.5
	1.52	3.66	7.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	6.88 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
62.2%

Draw
24.4%

Casertana
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23.6%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Catania - Casertana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Catania (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Catania will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Catania will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 5. Miceli M. 6. Allegretto A. 24. Casasola T. 30. Corbari A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 20. Donnarumma D. 99. D'Ausilio M. 17. Bruzzaniti G. 18. Caturano S.	1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 4. Kontek I. 23. Martino P. 18. Oukhadda S. 8. Proia F. 25. Toscano M. 21. Girelli S. 94. Liotti D. 7. Butic K. 90. Casarotto M.
Substitutes
1. Bethers K. (G) 29. Cargnelutti R. 3. Celli A. 12. Coco L. (G) 47. Di Noia G. 28. Doni S. 7. Jimenez K. 23. Lunetta G. 73. Pieraccini S. 13. Ponsi F. 19. Raimo A.	51. Arzillo V. 13. Bacchetti L. 20. Bentivegna A. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 10. Leone K. 12. Merolla E. (G) 99. Saco C. 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G) 17. Viscardi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Martino P. 🟨,
56', Liotti D. ↓, Bacchetti L. ↑,
64', Corbari A. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
64', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
64', Allegretto A. ↓, Celli A. ↑,
72', Heinz J. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
73', Proia F. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
80', Casasola T. ↓, Raimo A. ↑,
82', Casarotto M. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
82', Butic K. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
86', Donnarumma D. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Catania is the obvious favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Catania won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.26	Benevento - Catania	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Salernitana - Catania	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Catania - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Catania - Trapani	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Siracusa - Catania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWWT
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
05.03.26	Casertana - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Siracusa - Casertana	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Casertana - Picerno	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Casarano - Casertana	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Casertana - Crotone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
31.10.25	Casertana - Catania	2:2
16.02.25	Catania - Casertana	1:1
06.10.24	Casertana - Catania	1:3
11.02.24	Catania - Casertana	0:0
01.10.23	Casertana - Catania	0:4
25.04.21	Catania - Casertana	3:0
10.01.21	Casertana - Catania	3:2

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