Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Castellón		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	10
	1.25	5	9
	1.25	5.5	11	Watch
	1.29	5.29	11.18
	1.29	5.29	11.18
	1.29	4.4	8
	1.26	5.3	10.7
	1.25	5	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	5.07 ↑ (3.9)	10.08 ↑ (7.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
72.7%

Draw
18.2%

Algeciras
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

22.5%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

21%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+2%)

Castellón - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 2. Granero B. 10. Sanchez R. 7. Moyita S. 18. Indias I. 19. Villahermosa D. 17. Ruiz S. 4. Medunjanin H. 9. de Miguel J.	1. Lavin M. (G) 3. Vicente A. 23. Rodriguez J. 15. Diori Y. 25. Merchan D. 10. Esteban Diego 20. Garcia M. 6. Montes E. 11. Sanchez T. 9. Cueto J. 17. Martin D.
Substitutes
8. Gracia J. 20. Gronning S. 21. Kastaneer G. 27. Minana S. 29. Punzano I. 16. Sanchez M. 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 35. Torner Rosell S. (G) 15. Traore M. 33. Vertrouwd J.	5. Benavides C. 31. Dominiguez C. 4. Fernandez B. 13. Garcia L. (G) 19. Illesca M. 21. Milosevic S. 2. Roldan R. 22. Sardinero A. 7. Zequi

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellón is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Castellón - Osasuna	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Castellón	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Castellón - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Córdoba - Castellón	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Castellón - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.01.24	Algeciras - Recreativo Huelva	2:3 ✺
17.12.23	Málaga - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Antequera - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Algeciras - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.04.22	Castellón - Algeciras	1:0
07.11.21	Algeciras - Castellón	0:0

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