Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Castellón		Antequera

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.55	4	5.5	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5.3
	1.55	4.17	5.8
	1.95	3	3.3
	1.54	4.05	5.49
	1.54	3.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)	3.77 ↑ (3.4)	5.22 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
57.9%

Draw
24.4%

Antequera
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

26.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

24.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Castellón - Antequera Predictions

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 2. Granero B. 16. Sanchez M. 7. Moyita S. 14. Gil O. (C) 18. Indias I. 10. Sanchez R. 4. Medunjanin H. 9. de Miguel J.	1. Moreno I. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Fomeyem F. 3. Spatz L. M. 22. Ruiz F. (C) 16. Marin A. 10. Nunez C. 5. Mena P. 23. Hidalgo A. 20. Luismi Gutierrez 9. Redondo L.
Substitutes
. Aurelio D. 23. Calavera J. 8. Gracia J. 20. Gronning S. 3. Iosifov N. 21. Kastaneer G. 6. Rodriguez C. . Salva J. (G) 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 15. Traore M. 33. Vertrouwd J.	7. Alba T. 13. Gallego A. (G) 4. Humanes D. 18. Ilahude D. 14. Pais N. 6. Pavon A. 21. Socorro J. 19. Sousa C. 29. Topo

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 6).

Castellón is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Antequera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antequera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Castellón to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.01.24	Málaga - Castellón	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Castellón - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Castellón - Osasuna	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Castellón	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Castellón - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.01.24	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Alcoyano - Antequera	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.24	Elversberg - Antequera	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Antequera - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ibiza - Antequera	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.23	Antequera - Castellón	1:1

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