Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Castellón		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.33	2.29
	2.9	3.31	2.28
	2.9	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.09	3.4	2.31	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.71)	3.32 ↓ (3.46)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
30.1%

Draw
28.2%

Osasuna
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

26.9%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Castellón - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Osasuna will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Schwake B. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 2. Granero B. 16. Sanchez M. 18. Indias I. 14. Gil O. 17. Ruiz S. (C) 4. Medunjanin H. 7. Moyita S. 9. de Miguel J.	13. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Vidal N. 5. Garcia D. (C) 28. Herrando J. 3. Cruz J. 19. Ibanez P. 6. Torro L. 8. Brasanac D. 14. Garcia R. 23. Raul 11. Barja K.
Substitutes
23. Calavera J. 1. Crettaz G. (G) 11. De Leon J. 20. Gronning S. 21. Kastaneer G. 27. Minana S. 10. Sanchez R. 22. Suero I. 15. Traore M. 33. Vertrouwd J. 19. Villahermosa D.	12. Areso J. 20. Arnaiz J. M. 17. Budimir A. 24. Catena A. 16. Gomez M. 1. Herrera S. (G) 22. Mojica J. 7. Moncayola J. 34. Munoz I. 10. Oroz A. 15. Pena R.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Arrasate J.

Preview

Castellón is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Osasuna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osasuna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Osasuna will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Castellón	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Castellón - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Córdoba - Castellón	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Castellón - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.12.23	Castellón - Linares Deportivo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.24	Osasuna - Almería	1:0 ✺
21.12.23	Mallorca - Osasuna	3:2 ✺
15.12.23	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Cádiz - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTT

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