Match Info

LaLiga - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	18:00	Begin
Belarus	15:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	08:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	19:00	MyTV
Canada	08:00	TSN+
China	20:00	Migu
Colombia	07:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	14:00	SportKlub 7
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	Disney+
Ecuador	07:00	ESPN 2
Finland	15:00	Disney+
France	14:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	16:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	12:00	Disney+
India	17:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Macao	20:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	17:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	08:00	ESPN 2
Peru	07:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	20:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	21:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	14:00	Disney+
Switzerland	14:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	20:00	DAZN
Thailand	19:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Vietnam	19:00	ON Football, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Osasuna		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.70	3.25	2.60
	2.52	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.92
	2.52	3.42	2.79	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.85
	2.64	3.43	2.9	Watch
	2.44	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.03)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.81 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
37.4%

Draw
28.6%

Rayo Vallecano
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasuna's form might have worsened.

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Vallecano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	31.6%	31.6%

Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez A. (G) 27. Arguibide I. 29. Osambela A. 24. Catena A. 35. Santos U. 15. Rico D. 14. Garcia R. 7. Moncayola J. 8. Munoz I. 11. Barja K. (C) 17. Budimir A.	25. Audero E. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 15. Sadick M. 24. Lejeune F. 17. Pedrosa A. 8. Lopez U. 6. Ciss P. 23. Valentin O. (C) 19. de Frutos J. 10. Camello S. 18. Garcia A.
Substitutes
30. Bonel A. 22. Boyomo F. 23. Bretones A. 20. Del Castillo R. 21. Dubasin J. 26. Echegoyen M. 9. Garcia R. 1. Herrera S. (G) 18. Moro R. 31. Rafa (G) 6. Torro L. 48. Yeboah R.	9. Alemao 20. Balliu I. 37. Belaid R. 36. Bouare G. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 26. de las Sias M. 4. Diaz P. 22. Fernandez P. 3. Kumbulla M. 21. Perez F. 14. Tsitaishvili G.
Coaches
Ramis L. M.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Budimir A. ⚽,
21', Osambela A. 🟨,
25', Ciss P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Camello S. ⚽, Pedrosa A. (A),
56', Barja K. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
56', Rico D. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
60', Valentin O. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
67', Moncayola J. 🟨,
69', Moncayola J. ↓, Torro L. ↑,
69', Garcia R. ↓, Dubasin J. ↑,
71', Camello S. ↓, Tsitaishvili G. ↑,
72', de Frutos J. ↓, Alemao ↑,
72', Santos U. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
77', Herrera S. 🟨,
87', Lopez U. ↓, Bouare G. ↑,
87', Garcia A. ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
90+6', Alemao 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Rayo Vallecano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Osasuna: Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Herrando J. (Muscle Injury) Oroz A. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Rayo Vallecano: Batalla A. (Broken calfbone) Palazon I. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Osasuna: Rosier V. (Hamstring Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Nteka R. (Muscle Injury) Vertrouwd J. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Osasuna has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:21 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Osasuna against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	10:20	-10	11
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	2	3	4	12:20	-8	9

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Rayo Vallecano: 0.17% Osasuna: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
16.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
12.09.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	5:2 ✺
31.08.26	Osasuna - Getafe	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWW
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
15.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano	5:2 ✺
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.01.26	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	1:3
14.09.25	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	2:0
19.01.25	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
16.09.24	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	3:1
20.04.24	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	2:1
15.12.23	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
14.04.23	Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna	2:1

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