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Osasuna - Real Sociedad

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 13
  • Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)
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    Osasuna Real Sociedad
    Osasuna Real Sociedad
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.69 ↑
    (2.59)    		 3.04 ↓
    (3.21)    		 2.94 ↑
    (2.83)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Osasuna
    35.7%    		Draw
    31.6%    		Real Sociedad
    32.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    36.7% 29.7% 33.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    37.8% 30.6% 31.6%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    23.7% 47.4% 28.9%

    Osasuna - Real Sociedad Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% โ€“ 66.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 2 - 20%). Real Sociedad (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Real Sociedad (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Osasuna (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Real Sociedad (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainHerrera S. (C)
    22. CameroonBoyomo F.
    24. SpainCatena A.
      3. SpainCruz J.
      7. SpainMoncayola J.
      6. SpainTorro L.
    16. SpainGomez M.
    23. SpainBretones A.
    21. SpainMunoz V.
      9. SpainGarcia R.
    10. SpainOroz A.
    		  1. SpainRemiro A. (G)
      2. VenezuelaAramburu J.
    31. SpainMartin J.
    16. CroatiaCaleta-Car D.
      3. SpainMunoz A.
    11. PortugalGuedes G.
      4. SpainGorrotxategi J.
    18. SpainSoler C.
    21. RussiaZakharyan A.
    10. SpainOyarzabal M. (C)
    23. SpainMendez B.
    Substitutes
    41. SpainArguibide I.
    11. SpainBarja K.
    18. SurinameBecker S.
    17. CroatiaBudimir A.
    13. SpainFernandez A. (G)
    14. SpainGarcia R.
      5. SpainHerrando J.
      8. SpainMunoz I.
    29. SpainOsambela A.
    		  7. SpainBarrenetxea A.
    38. SpainBeitia L.
      6. SpainElustondo A.
    32. SpainFraga A. (G)
    17. SpainGomez S.
    14. JapanKubo T.
    28. SpainMarin P.
    13. SpainMarrero U. (G)
    20. SpainOdriozola A.
    15. NigeriaSadiq U.
    24. CroatiaSucic L.
      8. SpainTurrientes B.
    Coaches
         ItalyLisci A.
    		     SpainFrancisco S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 30', Mendez B. 🟨,
    • 42', 1 - 0, Catena A. ⚽, Oroz A. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
    • 53', 1 - 1, Mendez B. ⚽, Soler C. (A),
    • 54', Martin J. 🟨,
    • 59', 1 - 2, Guedes G. ⚽, Oyarzabal M. (A),
    • 60', Guedes G. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
    • 60', Zakharyan A. ↓, Barrenetxea A. ↑,
    • 61', Cruz J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
    • 71', Moncayola J. ↓, Arguibide I. ↑,
    • 75', Mendez B. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
    • 75', Munoz A. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
    • 78', Gomez M. ↓, Budimir A. ↑,
    • 78', Munoz V. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
    • 79', Boyomo F. ↓, Herrando J. ↑,
    • 82', 1 - 3, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Gorrotxategi J. (A),
    • 85', Soler C. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
    • 87', Arguibide I. 🟥,
    • 88', Fernandez A. 🟨,
    • 90', Oroz A. 🟨,
    • 90+1', Catena A. 🟨,

    Preview

  • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 3.
  • Osasuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Real Sociedad is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 3).
  • Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Osasuna has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury) Rosier V. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Goti Lopez M. (Injury) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Calf Injury) Oskarsson O. (Hamstring Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Osasuna: Budimir A. (Calf Injury) Moncayola J. (Groin Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

    • Last Results with these Odds

    Osasuna - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Osasuna
    Spanish LaLiga
    08.11.25 Sevilla - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    03.11.25 Real Oviedo - Osasuna 0:0 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    29.10.25 Sant Jordi - Osasuna 0:5 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    26.10.25 Osasuna - Celta de Vigo 2:3 ✺
    18.10.25 Atlรฉtico Madrid - Osasuna 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3
    LTWLL
    - Real Sociedad
    Spanish LaLiga
    07.11.25 Elche - Real Sociedad 1:1 ✺
    01.11.25 Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    28.10.25 Negreira - Real Sociedad 0:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    24.10.25 Real Sociedad - Sevilla 2:1 ✺
    19.10.25 Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12
    TWWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    Club Friendly
    30.07.25 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 4:1
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    06.02.25 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 2:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    02.02.25 Osasuna - Real Sociedad 2:1
    27.10.24 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 0:2
    Club Friendly
    31.07.24 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.02.24 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 0:1
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    17.01.24 Osasuna - Real Sociedad 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Osasuna
    Spanish LaLiga
    02.11.26 Deportivo A Coruรฑa - Osasuna ✺
    - Real Sociedad
    UEFA Europa League
    05.11.26 Real Sociedad - Lyon ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    01.11.26 Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad ✺

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