Match Info

LaLiga - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
China	21:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sky Go Germany
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	16:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	18:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	21:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	14:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	20:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	16:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Mallorca		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.48	3.05	3.15	Watch
	2.49	3.1	3.35
	2.49	3.03	3.12	Watch
	2.41	3.2	3.47	Watch
	2.4	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.49)	3.1 ↑ (3.03)	3.27 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
39.4%

Draw
31.1%

Osasuna
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

32%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	35%	20%

Mallorca - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Osasuna will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Osasuna (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mallorca (1.67) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Osasuna (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Mallorca (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 9 - 60%). Osasuna (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bergstrom L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 5. Mascarell O. 12. Samu Costa 18. Joseph M. 10. Darder S. 17. Virgili J. 7. Muriqi V.	1. Herrera S. (C) 29. Osambela A. 22. Boyomo F. 5. Herrando J. 23. Bretones A. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 10. Oroz A. 14. Garcia R. 17. Budimir A. 21. Munoz V.
Substitutes
11. Asano T. 30. Domenech M. 4. Kumbulla M. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 8. Morlanes M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 26. Salhi I. 6. Sanchez A. 20. Torre P.	11. Barja K. 18. Becker S. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 16. Gomez M. 8. Munoz I. 42. Serrano M.
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Joseph M. 🟨,
41', Maffeo P. 🟨,
41', Herrera S. 🟨,
45+1', Bretones A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', Boyomo F. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Muriqi V. (Pen),
65', Joseph M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Muriqi V. ⚽, Virgili J. (A),
71', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
71', Osambela A. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
76', Munoz V. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
81', Darder S. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
81', Virgili J. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
81', Samu Costa 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
83', Bretones A. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
83', Moncayola J. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
85', Oroz A. 🟨,
86', Lisci A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Boyomo F. ⚽, Torro L. (A),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1.

Mallorca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Osasuna has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mallorca might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Mallorca: Lato T. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Roman L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Osasuna: Arguibide I. (Red Card) Benito I. (Knee Injury) Catena A. (Yellow Cards) Rosier V. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mallorca - Getafe	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Betis - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Atlètic Sant Just - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Mallorca - Levante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWT
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Sant Jordi - Osasuna	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
10.02.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	1:1
24.08.24	Osasuna - Mallorca	1:0
14.05.24	Osasuna - Mallorca	1:1
21.12.23	Mallorca - Osasuna	3:2
31.03.23	Mallorca - Osasuna	0:0
14.01.23	Osasuna - Mallorca	1:0
22.05.22	Osasuna - Mallorca	0:2

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