The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellón 52.8%
Draw 26.9%
UD Logroñés 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
28.3%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
27.4%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Castellón - UD Logroñés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Castellón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Logroñés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Logroñés have a series of home games.
In this match Castellón is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.