Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.3	2.8	2.95
	2.3	2.75	3.25
	2.31	2.9	3
	2.46	2.93	3.17
	2.25	2.88	3.25
	2.35	2.96	3.04
	2.33	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.22)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	3.09 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
39.1%

Draw
31.6%

UD Logroñés
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Numancia - UD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 14).

Numancia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Logroñés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Numancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.22	Castellón - Numancia	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Numancia - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Barcelona B - Numancia	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Numancia - Sabadell	3:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	San Juan - Numancia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWTW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.22	UD Logroñés - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Eldense - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	UD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Real Murcia - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Navalcarnero - UD Logroñés	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.19	Numancia - UD Logroñés	2:1
08.08.18	UD Logroñés - Numancia	1:0
14.08.15	Numancia - UD Logroñés	1:1

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