Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Las Gaunas (Logroño)

Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)


	UD Logroñés		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	15	5.75	1.22	Watch
	10.5	5.75	1.23	Watch
	12.5	5.6	1.23
	12	5.6	1.22
	12.88	5.61	1.22
	15	5.8	1.22	Watch
	14.5	6.45	1.2	Watch
	12	6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.05 ↑ (7.9)	5.82 ↑ (4.87)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
7.2%

Draw
16.1%

Real Sociedad
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

19%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

18.2%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	3.3%	96.7%

UD Logroñés - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Logroñés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Sociedad is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	UD Logroñés - Albacete Balompié	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	UD Logroñés - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Numancia - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
06.12.22	UD Logroñés - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Eldense - UD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
31.12.22	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Coria - Real Sociedad	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
16.12.22	Leeds United - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
10.12.22	Real Sociedad - Anderlecht	Canceled ✺
10.12.22	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWL?T

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.16	UD Logroñés - Real Sociedad	0:1

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