Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Catanduva		Paulista

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.78	3.5
	2.27	2.53	3.71
	2.24	2.65	3.71	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.4
	2.22	2.61	3.74
	1.91	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.92)	2.73 ↓ (3.18)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanduva
41.7%

Draw
33.2%

Paulista
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

29.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanduva's form might have worsened.

Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanduva than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanduva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Catanduva - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Mateus Henrique ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Mateus Henrique (Own goal),
40', 1 - 2, Matheus Arcanjo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 1 - 3, Mauri ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

Catanduva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paulista is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Catanduva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Catanduva FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.26	Bandeirante - Catanduva	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Catanduva - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Catanduva - União São João	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	XV de Jaú - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLTL
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.03.26	Paulista - União São João	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	União Barbarense - Paulista	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	União Suzano - Paulista	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Paulista - Bandeirante	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Paulista - Francana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTT

Catanduva - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide