Match Info
Paulista A3 - Round 14Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Paulista |
|
União São João |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
2.98 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.08 |
2.84 |
3.69 |
|
 |
2.07 |
2.95 |
3.68 |
 Watch |
 |
2.1 |
2.75 |
3.75 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.15 |
3.78 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.91) |
2.93 ↓
(3.3) |
3.7 ↑
(3.59) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Paulista
44.3% | Draw
31.1% | União São João
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paulista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-1.3%)Paulista - União São João Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Christopher ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 73', 2 - 0, Jefinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', 3 - 0, Matheus Arcanjo ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).Paulista has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).União São João is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Paulista is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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