Match Info
Paulista A3 - Round 13Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
União Barbarense |
|
Paulista |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.38 |
2.98 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.11 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.17 |
2.84 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
2.88 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.37 |
3.04 |
2.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.26) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
2.82 ↓
(3.07) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
União Barbarense
38.1% | Draw
29.8% | Paulista
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (-3.6%)União Barbarense - Paulista Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Camilo (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', 1 - 1, Daniel Cruz ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).União Barbarense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Paulista has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, União Barbarense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).Including home match between the teams, União Barbarense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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