Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
World	Onefootball


	Catania		Benevento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.05	2.98
	2.73	3	2.69
	2.16	3.30	3.23	Watch
	2.37	3.09	3.09	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.12)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
39.7%

Draw
29.7%

Benevento
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.8%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Catania - Benevento Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 3. Celli A. 15. Di Gennaro M. 68. Ierardi M. 20. Donnarumma D. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 16. Quaini A. 24. Casasola T. 23. Lunetta G. 10. Cicerelli E. 32. Forte F.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 19. Borghini D. 77. Pierozzi E. 4. Prisco A. 8. Maita M. (C) 20. Ceresoli A. 11. Lamesta D. 9. Salvemini F. 10. Manconi J.
Substitutes
6. Allegretto A. 4. Aloi S. 1. Bethers K. (G) 18. Caturano S. 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 99. D'Ausilio M. 37. Forti C. 7. Jimenez K. 73. Pieraccini S. 21. Quiroz G. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.	29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 31. Ricci G. 2. Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A. 37. Tsingaras A. 93. Tumminello M. 6. Viscardi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Salvemini F. 🟨,
27', Maita M. 🟨,
33', Lunetta G. 🟨,
34', Prisco A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Cicerelli E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Prisco A. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
53', Donnarumma D. 🟨,
56', Salvemini F. ↓, Tumminello M. ↑,
56', Manconi J. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
62', Cicerelli E. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
70', Lunetta G. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
70', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Aloi S. ↑,
76', Forte F. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
77', Quaini A. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
80', Casasola T. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Catania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Catania won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Catania - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Giugliano - Catania	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Catania - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Catania	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Trapani - Catania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTT
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.25	Benevento - Potenza	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Benevento - Altamura	4:0 ✺
03.10.25	Latina - Benevento	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Benevento - Trapani	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Picerno - Benevento	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.01.25	Benevento - Catania	3:2
02.09.24	Catania - Benevento	1:0
27.04.24	Catania - Benevento	1:0
23.12.23	Benevento - Catania	0:4
17.04.16	Benevento - Catania	1:0
05.12.15	Catania - Benevento	1:3

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