Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
World	Onefootball


	Catania		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.1
	2.48	2.94	3.16
	1.46	3.82	7.84	Watch
	2.09	3.13	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)	3.27 (3.27)	4.36 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
47.7%

Draw
29.9%

Salernitana
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.9%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salernitana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salernitana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Catania - Salernitana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 3. Celli A. 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 20. Donnarumma D. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 16. Quaini A. 24. Casasola T. 10. Cicerelli E. 23. Lunetta G. 32. Forte F.	1. Donnarumma A. (G) 21. Coppolaro M. 18. Golemic V. 33. Anastasio A. 14. Villa L. 5. Capomaggio G. 29. Tascone M. 27. Ubani M. 20. Ferraris A. 9. Inglese R. (C) 10. Ferrari F.
Substitutes
6. Allegretto A. 4. Aloi S. 1. Bethers K. (G) 18. Caturano S. 12. Coco L. (G) 30. Corbari A. 99. D'Ausilio M. 37. Forti C. 7. Jimenez K. 73. Pieraccini S. 21. Quiroz G. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.	7. Achik I. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 39. Iervolino A. 17. Knezovic B. 11. Liguori M. 26. Matino E. 24. Quirini E. 8. Varone I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Capomaggio G. 🟨,
21', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Quaini A. 🟨,
53', Ubani M. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Forte F. ⚽,
57', Forte F. 🟨,
58', Quaini A. ↓, Aloi S. ↑,
65', Cicerelli E. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
65', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
69', Anastasio A. ↓, Matino E. ↑,
70', Ferrari F. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
70', Ferraris A. ↓, Knezovic B. ↑,
73', Forte F. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
73', Lunetta G. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
80', Coppolaro M. ↓, Quirini E. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Salernitana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Catania could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Catania - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.25	Giugliano - Catania	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Catania - Siracusa	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Catania	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Trapani - Catania	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Catania - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTTT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Monopoli - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Salernitana - Cavese	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Salernitana - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Giugliano - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLW

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