Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	Onefootball


	Monopoli		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	3.2	2.25
	3.27	3.24	2.15
	25.00	7.46	1.08	Watch
	2.97	3.08	2.29	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.41 ↑ (2.85)	4.02 ↑ (3.1)	2 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
15.3%

Draw
28.2%

Salernitana
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

28.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monopoli's form might have worsened.

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salernitana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monopoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salernitana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Monopoli - Salernitana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Piana E. (G) 34. Ronco D. 4. Bizzotto N. 35. Piccinini S. 77. Viteritti O. 23. Falzerano M. 8. Battocchio C. 21. Scipioni E. 31. Oyewale S. 11. Fall M. 17. Tirelli M.	1. Donnarumma A. (G) 21. Coppolaro M. 18. Golemic V. 33. Anastasio A. 14. Villa L. 5. Capomaggio G. 29. Tascone M. 27. Ubani M. 20. Ferraris A. 10. Ferrari F. 9. Inglese R.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 5. Angileri A. 37. Bordo L. 19. Calcagni R. 12. Cucinotta D. (G) 2. Di Bari A. 99. Imputato A. 72. Lattanzi L. 9. Longo S. 33. Rossi D. 16. Valenti B. 10. Volpe G. 45. Yeboah P.	7. Achik I. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 39. Iervolino A. 17. Knezovic B. 11. Liguori M. 26. Matino E. 24. Quirini E. 8. Varone I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Capomaggio G. ⚽,
32', Anastasio A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Tirelli M. 🟨,
60', Falzerano M. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
61', Ferrari F. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
65', Ferraris A. ↓, Quirini E. ↑,
70', Tirelli M. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
70', Viteritti O. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
79', Scipioni E. ↓, Calcagni R. ↑,
79', Bizzotto N. ↓, Angileri A. ↑,
90+1', Ubani M. ↓, Varone I. ↑,
90+1', Anastasio A. ↓, Matino E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

In recent matches, Monopoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Salernitana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Sorrento - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Monopoli - Cavese	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Monopoli - Altamura	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Latina - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWW
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Salernitana - Cavese	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Casarano - Salernitana	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Salernitana - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Giugliano - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Salernitana - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLWW

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