Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Catanzaro		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.5
	2.75	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.86	3.26	2.65
	2.86	3.17	2.6	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	2.83	3.22	2.56	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.25)	3.25 ↓ (3.37)	2.51 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
33.4%

Draw
29%

Cremonese
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cremonese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cremonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Catanzaro - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Cremonese will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 92. Situm M. 23. Brighenti N. 4. Antonini Lui M. 6. Bonini F. 7. Compagnon M. 10. Petriccione J. 21. Pompetti M. 70. D'Alessandro M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 28. Biasci T.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 42. Moretti L. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 26. Antov V. 98. Zanimacchia L. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 17. Sernicola L. 20. Vazquez F. 9. De Luca M.
Substitutes
45. Buso N. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Ceresoli A. 80. Coulibaly M. 1. Dini A. (G) 8. Koutsoupias I. 19. La Mantia A. 24. Pagano R. 90. Pittarello F. 14. Scognamillo S. 29. Seck D. 3. Turicchia R.	4. Barbieri T. 97. Gabbiani G. 11. Johnsen D. 22. Jungdal A. (G) 57. Lordkipanidze D. 62. Milanese T. 6. Pickel C. 3. Quagliata G. 21. Saro G. (G) 25. Triacca D.
Coaches
Caserta F.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Castagnetti M. ⚽, Zanimacchia L. (A),
20', Collocolo M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Compagnon M. ⚽, Situm M. (A),
35', Iemmello P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Antov V. 🟨,
59', Compagnon M. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
59', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
65', Iemmello P. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
67', Sernicola L. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
69', Cassandro T. 🟨,
73', De Luca M. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
78', Moretti L. 🟨,
80', Pompetti M. ↓, Koutsoupias I. ↑,
80', Biasci T. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
85', Vazquez F. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Barbieri T. ⚽,
90+5', Vandeputte J. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
90+5', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Cremonese - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
14.09.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Locri - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie B
01.09.24	Catanzaro - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
28.08.24	Cesena - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWLT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
14.09.24	Cremonese - Spezia	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:4 ✺
27.08.24	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Cremonese - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.05.24	Cremonese - Catanzaro	4:1
21.05.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	2:2
20.04.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	0:0
19.08.23	Cremonese - Catanzaro	0:0

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