Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.88	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.45	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.2	3.15
	2.41	3.21	3.09	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.46	3.28	2.94	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.2)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	3 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
39.5%

Draw
29.1%

Catanzaro
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Cittadella - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Maniero L. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 4. Angeli M. 26. Pavan N. 32. Masciangelo E. 16. Vita A. 5. Casolari F. 23. Branca S. (C) 21. Rabbi S. 91. Ravasio M. 8. Amatucci F.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 21. Pompetti M. 23. Brighenti N. 4. Antonini Lui M. 6. Bonini F. 92. Situm M. 45. Buso N. 10. Petriccione J. 7. Compagnon M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 28. Biasci T.
Substitutes
10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 29. Djibril A. 9. Magrassi A. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 18. Tessiore A.	84. Cassandro T. 27. Ceresoli A. 80. Coulibaly M. 70. D'Alessandro M. 1. Dini A. (G) 8. Koutsoupias I. 19. La Mantia A. 24. Pagano R. 90. Pittarello F. 14. Scognamillo S. 29. Seck D. 3. Turicchia R.
Coaches
Gorini E.	Caserta F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Buso N. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
50', Pompetti M. 🟨,
62', Casolari F. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
62', Rabbi S. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
63', Biasci T. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
63', Compagnon M. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
76', Amatucci F. 🟨,
78', Ravasio M. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
79', Angeli M. 🟨,
86', Iemmello P. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
86', Masciangelo E. ↓, Salvi A. ↑,
86', Amatucci F. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
89', Petriccione J. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cittadella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cittadella have a series of guest games.

Cittadella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
31.08.24	Modena - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cittadella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Salernitana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWLL
- US Catanzaro
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Locri - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie B
01.09.24	Catanzaro - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
28.08.24	Cesena - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Catanzaro - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.02.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	1:2
27.09.23	Catanzaro - Cittadella	1:1

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