Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.7
	2.38	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.47	3.5	2.98
	2.48	3.49	2.67	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.43	3.54	2.78	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.19)	3.44 ↑ (3.28)	2.83 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
39.4%

Draw
27.4%

Catanzaro
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

28.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Cesena - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Catanzaro (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 26. Piacentini M. 27. Corazza T. 25. Bisoli D. 10. Bastoni S. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C. 22. Vrioni G.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 30. Alesi G. 14. Liberali M. 8. Pittarello F. 9. Iemmello P. (C)
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 7. Cerri A. 74. Domeniconi R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 70. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 44. Kebbeh M. 23. Magni V. 32. Olivieri M. 1. Siano A. (G)	98. Buglio D. 77. D'Alessandro M. 94. Di Francesco F. 2. Esteves G. 6. Fellipe Jack 62. Frosinini R. 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 21. Pompetti M. 32. Rispoli F. 26. Verrengia B.
Coaches
Cole A.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Liberali M. ⚽, Cassandro T. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Vrioni G. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
57', Ciervo R. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Cerri A. ⚽,
65', Petriccione J. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
65', Alesi G. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
70', Corazza T. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Piacentini M. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
76', Bastoni S. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
77', Pittarello F. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
77', Brighenti N. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
78', Cerri A. 🟨,
82', Zaro G. 🟨,
83', Liberali M. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
87', Nuamah P. 🟥,
87', Olivieri M. 🟨,
90+3', Shpendi C. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Berti T. ⚽,
90+6', Iemmello P. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Cesena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Catanzaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cesena: Castagnetti M. (Inactive) Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Frabotta G. (Inactive) Magni V. (Injury) Mangraviti M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Injury) Oudin R. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cesena - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
17.03.26	Mantova - Cesena	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cesena - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Modena - Cesena	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Empoli - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLT
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
14.03.26	Padova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Catanzaro - Empoli	3:2 ✺
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Catanzaro - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Virtus Entella - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.12.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	2:0
17.05.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	1:0
01.02.25	Catanzaro - Cesena	4:2
28.08.24	Cesena - Catanzaro	2:0

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