Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 22

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Cavese		Altamura

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.5	Watch
	2.02	3.09	3.72	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.4
	2.13	3.01	3.74	Watch
	2	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.22)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	3.67 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
44.4%

Draw
30.7%

Altamura
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altamura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altamura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Cavese - Altamura Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cavese will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Altamura will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 77. Amerighi I. 5. Awua T. 73. Bolcano D. 15. Cionek T. 11. Diarrassouba A. 10. Fella G. (C) 27. Loreto C. 24. Orlando F. 7. Sorrentino D. 90. Visconti E.	97. Alastra F. (G) 10. Curcio A. 6. Doumbia C. B. 37. Falasca M. 16. Grande M. 32. Lepore F. 21. Mogentale T. 30. Nazzaro M. 11. Rosafio M. 18. Silletti E. 5. Zazza M.
Substitutes
8. Barone M. 2. Di Paola M. 82. Fusco G. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 3. Luciani A. 28. Macchi M. 20. Maiolo F. 17. Nunziata F. 14. Pelamatti A. 16. Ubaldi L.	40. Dimola R. . Dipinto N. 76. Fantoni N. 50. Fraccalvieri M. 20. Mbaye I. . Minervini M. 24. Ortisi P. 70. Peschetola L. 13. Poli F. 1. Spina A. (G) 9. Suazo D. 22. Viola A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Rosafio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Grande M. ⚽,
64', Awua T. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
65', Bolcano D. ↓, Nunziata F. ↑,
65', Sorrentino D. ↓, Ubaldi L. ↑,
70', Rosafio M. ↓, Peschetola L. ↑,
75', Alastra F. 🟨,
75', Nazzaro M. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Orlando F. ⚽,
80', Amerighi I. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
82', Lepore F. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
82', Doumbia C. B. ↓, Dipinto N. ↑,
90+1', Falasca M. ↓, Poli F. ↑,
90+1', Diarrassouba A. ↓, Macchi M. ↑,
90+4', Dipinto F. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 1.

Cavese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Altamura has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cavese is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11
16	Altamura	8	2	2	4	4:10	-6	8

Last Results with these Odds

Cavese - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.48%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
11.01.26	Catania - Cavese	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cavese - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Cavese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL
- Team Altamura
Italian Serie C Group C
10.01.26	Crotone - Altamura	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Altamura - Casertana	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Casarano - Altamura	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Altamura - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Giugliano - Altamura	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
07.09.25	Altamura - Cavese	2:1
31.01.25	Cavese - Altamura	1:1
24.09.24	Altamura - Cavese	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.05.24	Cavese - Altamura	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
08.01.23	Altamura - Cavese	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Altamura - Cavese	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.09.22	Cavese - Altamura	1:0

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