The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cavese 43.1%
Draw 28.1%
Casarano 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.8%
29.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
29.1%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cavese's performance.
Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cavese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Cavese - Casarano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 28. Mannucci T. 25. Peretti M. 17. Nunziata F. 11. Sava S. 5. Awua T. 20. Esposito G. 77. Macchi M. 24. Orlando F. 10. Fella G. (C) 82. Fusco G.
97. Farroni A. (G) 2. Ciotti P. 36. Matino E. 6. Obleac M. 33. Mercadante M. 77. Palumbo F. 17. Maiello R. (C) 23. Logoluso G. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 21. Zanellato N.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 2. Asiatico P. 22. Bertini M. (G) 62. D'Amore F. 47. Fiorin G. 1. Juwer R. (G) 61. Maiolo F. 7. Minaj E. 33. Personeni M. 15. Ponziglione I. 46. Severino G. 4. Visconti E.
1. Bacchin F. (G) 37. Cuzzarella C. 7. Knezovic B. 46. Leonetti V. 8. NโDiaye A. 34. Negro S. 30. Podrini F. 27. Versienti L.
Coaches
Masitto C.
Di Bari V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Fella G. ⚽, Fusco G. (A),
23', Mannucci T. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Macchi M. ⚽, Sava S. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Logoluso G. ⚽, Palumbo F. (A),
45+6', Nunziata F. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 2, Chirico C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Obleac M. ↓, Negro S. ↑,
46', Mannucci T. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
46', Fella G. ↓, Minaj E. ↑,
47', 3 - 2, Minaj E. ⚽, Sava S. (A),
49', Negro S. 🟨,
53', Esposito G. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
58', Zanellato N. ↓, Cuzzarella C. ↑,
65', Mercadante M. 🟨,
66', 4 - 2, Nunziata F. ⚽,
69', Palumbo F. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,
76', Ciotti P. 🟨,
80', 5 - 2, Orlando F. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Matino E. ↓, Versienti L. ↑,
81', Maiello R. ↓, NโDiaye A. ↑,
81', Sava S. ↓, Asiatico P. ↑,
85', Fusco G. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
90+4', Chirico C. 🟨,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 14th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cavese holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cavese has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cavese against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).