Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Simonetta Lamberti (Cava de' Tirreni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Cavese		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.82	Watch
	2.42	3.13	2.99
	2.44	3.05	2.87	Watch
	2.3	2.88	2.8
	2.55	3.12	2.81	Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.28)	2.87 (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cavese
37.9%

Draw
30%

Casarano
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Cavese - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 15. Cionek T. 17. Nunziata F. 70. D'Incoronato F. 24. Orlando F. 5. Awua T. 20. Maiolo F. 28. Macchi M. 10. Fella G. 16. Ubaldi L.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 27. Versienti L. 5. Celiento D. 33. Mercadante M. 77. Cajazzo I. 23. Logoluso G. 17. Maiello R. 3. Giraudo F. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V.
Substitutes
8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 13. Evangelisti N. 82. Fusco G. 9. Gudjohnsen S. 45. Imparato C. 1. Lamberti D. (G) 90. Visconti E. 33. Yabre M.	26. Barone A. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 11. Ferrara V. 24. Gega E. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 12. Pucci D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Chirico C. 🟨,
38', Cajazzo I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Logoluso G. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
47', Maiello R. 🟨,
55', Cionek T. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Chirico C. (Penalty Awarded),
65', D'Alena A. 🟨,
71', Chirico C. ↓, Ferrara V. ↑,
72', Macchi M. ↓, Yabre M. ↑,
72', Maiolo F. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
73', Celiento D. 🟨,
76', Cajazzo I. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
79', Grandolfo F. 🟨,
79', Luciani A. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Ubani M. ⚽,
89', Leonetti V. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
90', Grandolfo F. 🟨,
90+2', Ubaldi L. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
90+7', Awua T. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Cavese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cavese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
23.01.26	Giugliano - Cavese	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Cavese - Altamura	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Catania - Cavese	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWL
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Casarano - Picerno	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Benevento - Casarano	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Casarano - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trapani - Casarano	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Casarano - Altamura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.25	Casarano - Cavese	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.05.23	Cavese - Casarano	3:0
16.04.23	Casarano - Cavese	1:1
04.12.22	Cavese - Casarano	2:1

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