Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 23

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro (Giugliano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Giugliano		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.87	2.7
	2.48	3	2.78	Watch
	2.58	3.1	2.96
	2.48	3.06	2.81	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.46	2.85	2.81	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.47)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.84 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giugliano
36.8%

Draw
31%

Cavese
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Giugliano - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Greco S. (G) 32. Balde I. 24. Caldore M. 20. Cester S. 15. D'Avino L. 8. De Rosa R. 23. Laezza G. 2. Marchisano M. 90. Ogunseye R. 5. Pedro Justiniano 4. Zammarini R.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 77. Amerighi I. 15. Cionek T. (C) 11. Diarrassouba A. 27. Loreto C. 3. Luciani A. 20. Maiolo F. 17. Nunziata F. 24. Orlando F. 16. Ubaldi L. 90. Visconti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cionek T. 🟨,
28', D'Avino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Ogunseye R. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Cester S. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
62', Balde I. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
66', Diarrassouba A. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
69', D'Avino L. ↓, Vaglica G. ↑,
71', Ubaldi L. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
78', Ogunseye R. ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
79', Zammarini R. ↓, Prezioso M. ↑,
81', Fusco G. 🟨,
85', Loreto C. 🟨,
89', Amerighi I. ↓, Macchi M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Giugliano is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cavese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Giugliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Giugliano - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.27%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.26	Foggia - Giugliano	2:1 ✺
12.01.26	Giugliano - Picerno	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Potenza - Giugliano	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Giugliano - Casertana	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Benevento - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLL
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
16.01.26	Cavese - Altamura	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Catania - Cavese	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cavese	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cavese - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.25	Cavese - Giugliano	2:2
13.01.25	Cavese - Giugliano	1:0
08.09.24	Giugliano - Cavese	0:0

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