Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Machado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Caxias		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.45	5.47
	1.69	3.38	4.96	Watch
	1.62	3.3	4.75
	1.71	3.34	4.72	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.78)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	4.88 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caxias
54.4%

Draw
26.9%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.8%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 9. Alvaro 6. Augusto Galvan 3. Dirceu (C) 8. Elyeser 7. Gabriel Silva 5. Luan 4. Lucas Cunha 11. Robinho 10. Tomas Bastos 21. Yuri Ferraz	1. Douglas Dias (G) 15. Bruno Reis 99. Ciel (C) 6. Ernandes 19. Israel 26. Leo Gobo 5. Lincoln 7. Marcelinho 21. Nicholas 22. Vinicius Alves 28. Vinicius Paulista
Substitutes
23. Arthur Neves 17. Barba 13. Cezar 20. David Peninha 15. Dudu (G) 18. Felipe Tontini 2. Geilson 14. Jean Pierre 16. Mateus Mendes 22. Peu 19. Welder 12. Ze Carlos (G)	3. Alisson 18. Caio Rangel 11. Gabryel Martins 32. Geaze (G) 14. Igor Dutra . Joelson 9. Kiuan 23. Mattheus Silva 4. Naldo 17. Wilker
Coaches
Thiago Gomes	Damaceno R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Marcelinho ⚽,
41', Leo Gobo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Robinho ↓, Welder ↑,
46', Elyeser ↓, Felipe Tontini ↑,
46', Lucas Cunha ↓, Barba ↑,
49', Israel 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Felipe Tontini ⚽,
62', Vinicius Paulista ↓, Wilker ↑,
71', Dudu 🟨,
72', Lincoln 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Felipe Tontini ⚽,
82', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
83', Israel ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent matches Caxias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviário is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ferroviário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caxias is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
07.08.24	Ypiranga - Caxias	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	São Bernardo - Caxias	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Londrina - Caxias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
05.08.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Confiança - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
17.07.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
06.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Volta Redonda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.09.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Caxias	1:0
07.09.23	Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1

Caxias - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide