The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa San Carlos 33.4%
Draw 30.9%
Deportivo Laferrere 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
31.5%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
30.4%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa San Carlos's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Laferrere's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa San Carlos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Laferrere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Akimenco T. (G) 5. Acosta A. 11. Farias F. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 2. Machin L. 3. Martinez A. 6. Ojeda F. 7. Pavia K. 8. Ponton A. 9. Salinas R. 10. Villagra J.
1. Libares T. (G) 10. Benitez A. 2. Cavoret I. 11. Digion R. 3. Manzi N. 6. Nebot L. 4. Portillo B. 9. Rodriguez E. 7. Romero F. 5. Trejo E. (C) 8. Vivas N.
Substitutes
20. Cairo F. 14. Fabi S. 13. Garraza M. 12. Gonzalez L. 16. Guallama F. 19. Melillo E. 15. Mussis F. 18. Plastino M. 17. Zegarra Z.
20. Atardo G. 12. Barraza L. (G) 17. Cantero M. 13. Digangi M. 15. Mamani L. 18. Ortiz A. 16. Salvadores J. 14. Solis D. 19. Vega D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Machin L. 🟨,
34', Romero F. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Romero F. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Trejo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ponton A. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
46', Machin L. ↓, Cairo F. ↑,
47', Zegarra Z. 🟨,
59', Villagra J. ↓, Melillo E. ↑,
69', Lloyaiy A. 🟨,
71', Digion R. ↓, Mamani L. ↑,
72', Martinez A. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
76', Acosta A. 🟨,
79', Farias F. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
80', Vivas N. ↓, Digangi M. ↑,
80', Benitez A. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Laferrere
38
13
12
13
46:50
-4
51
13
Villa San Carlos
39
11
14
14
37:43
-6
47
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 28.74%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Akimenco T. (G) 
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