The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excursionistas 56.9%
Draw 25.2%
Villa San Carlos 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
25.3%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.3%
23.5%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Excursionistas - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Nacional and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 2.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
In this matchup, Excursionistas is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Excursionistas in today's match, at odds of 1.61.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Excursionistas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.4:0.2 per game).
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