The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ceará 66%
Draw 21.9%
Confiança 12.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
25.4%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
23.7%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.
Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Ceará - Confiança Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 11. Aylon 20. Diego 70. Fabiano 77. Fernandinho 97. Lourenco (C) 10. Lucas Mugni 3. Marllon 79. Matheus Bahia 9. Pedro Raul 40. Ramon Menezes
1. Rafael Mariano (G) 6. Airton 8. Andre Lima (C) 11. Camilo B. 4. Eduardo Moura 5. Fabio Silva 10. Luiz Otavio 3. Maicon 9. Neto Oliveira 7. Ronald Camarao 2. Valdir Junior
Substitutes
33. Eder 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 88. Fernando Sobral 27. Galeano A. 80. Guilherme Luiz 31. Lucas Lima 44. Marcos Victor 22. Martinez A. 8. Matheus Araujo 30. Nicolas 19. Romulo 23. Willian Machado
12. Felipe Scheibig (G) 15. Matheus Blade 16. Mossoro 13. Renilson 18. Rodriguinho 14. Weriton 17. Will
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Ronald Camarao ⚽,
29', Ramon Menezes ↓, Willian Machado ↑,
34', 0 - 2, Luiz Otavio ⚽,
45', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
45+1', Fabiano 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fernandinho ↓, Romulo ↑,
51', Romulo 🟨,
51', Rafael Mariano 🟨,
54', 🟨,
60', Lourenco ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
60', Aylon ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
61', Eduardo Moura ↓, Renilson ↑,
61', Neto Oliveira ↓, Matheus Blade ↑,
67', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
71', Lucas Mugni ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Pedro Raul ⚽,
76', Ronald Camarao ↓, Will ↑,
76', Camilo B. ↓, Weriton ↑,
78', Martinez A. 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, Galeano A. ⚽,
90+8', Will 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, Fernando Sobral (Pen),
1, Fabio Silva (Pen),
2, Galeano A. (Pen),
2, Airton (Pen),
3, Romulo (Pen),
3, Andre Lima (Pen),
Preview
Ceará in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Confiança is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Confiança could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ceará is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ceará to win the game is with odds 1.67.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
Watch
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Bruno Ferreira (G) 
Lucas Mugni 
Camilo B. 
Galeano A. 
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