The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ceará 62.1%
Draw 22.7%
América Mineiro 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
26.2%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
25.7%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
Ceará - América Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ceará will win
(22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 6. Ramos R. 3. Joao Pedro 4. David Ricardo 79. Matheus Bahia 97. Lourenco (C) 26. Richardson 10. Lucas Mugni 16. Erick Pulga 11. Aylon 73. Saulo Mineiro
1. Elias (G) 36. Mateus Henrique 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Lucao 30. Nicolas 8. Juninho (C) 5. Elizari F. 16. Ale 28. Fabinho 9. Brenner 75. Rodriguinho
Substitutes
98. Andrey 31. Barcelo F. 8. De Lucca 14. Eric 5. Jean Irmer 77. Lucas Rian 42. Matheus Felipe 12. Maycon Cleiton (G) 2. Rai Ramos 40. Ramon Menezes 28. Recalde J. 70. Talisson
44. Adyson 20. Daniel Borges 80. Daniel Junior 33. Eder 19. Felipe Amaral 12. Jori (G) 18. Julio 88. Matheus Davo 15. Moises 72. Paulinho 7. Vinicius 77. Wallisson
Coaches
Leo Conde
Lisca
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Ricardo Silva ↓, Eder ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Saulo Mineiro (Pen),
40', Eder 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Brenner ↓, Matheus Davo ↑,
46', Elizari F. ↓, Adyson ↑,
62', Nicolas 🟨,
67', Mateus Henrique ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
68', Lucas Mugni ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
75', Fabinho ↓, Vinicius ↑,
78', Lucao 🟨,
79', Aylon ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
83', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Barcelo F. ↑,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ceará won 1.
Ceará is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches América MG is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ceará is certain favorite.
There will not play in Ceará: Fernando Miguel
(Injury)
There will not play in América MG: Felipe Azevedo
(Injury)
Gustavinho
(Injury)
Marlon
(Injury)
Martin Benitez
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ceará: Richard
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Ceará to win the game is with odds 1.45.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Ceará won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:23 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).
Brazil
Watch
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Bruno Ferreira (G) 
Ramos R. 
Lucas Mugni 
Barcelo F. 
Recalde J. 
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