Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 31

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Ceará		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.6	Watch
	3.05	2.88	2.52
	3.13	3	2.57	Watch
	3	2.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
31%

Draw
32.6%

Fluminense
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

31.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	20%	46.7%

Ceará - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fluminense (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 44. Marcos Victor 23. Willian Machado 79. Matheus Bahia 88. Fernando Sobral 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 27. Galeano A. 29. Vina 7. Pedro Henrique 9. Pedro Raul	1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli (C) 17. Canobbio A. 45. Lima 90. Serna K. 99. John Kennedy
Substitutes
11. Aylon 20. Diego 33. Eder 77. Fernandinho 97. Lourenco 10. Lucas Mugni 3. Marllon 30. Nicolas 17. Paulo Baya 2. Ramos R. 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson	9. Everaldo 12. Fuentes G. 21. Igor Rabello 11. Keno 18. Lezcano R. 30. Moreno S. 16. Nonato 94. Otavio 2. Samuel Xavier 7. Soteldo Y. 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
Coaches
Leo Conde	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Galeano A. ⚽,
45+3', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
46', Hercules ↓, Nonato ↑,
46', Rene ↓, Fuentes G. ↑,
56', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
59', Ignacio 🟥,
72', 2 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽, Vina (A),
73', Pedro Raul 🟨,
74', John Kennedy ↓, Everaldo ↑,
78', Lima ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
80', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Lourenco ↑,
80', Vina ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
84', Marcos Victor ↓, Marllon ↑,
85', Galeano A. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
86', Marllon 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 1.

Ceará is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fluminense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Ceará: Diego (Injury) Marcos Victor (Inactive)

There will not play in Fluminense: Acosta L. (Yellow Cards) Bernal F. (Yellow Cards) Manoel (Inactive) PH Ganso (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Canobbio A. (Injury) Nonato (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Ceará - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie A
29.10.25	Fluminense - Ceará	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Mineiro - Ceará	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ceará - Botafogo RJ	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Sport Recife - Ceará	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ceará - Santos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
29.10.25	Fluminense - Ceará	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Fluminense - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Fluminense - Juventude	1:0 ✺
08.10.25	Mirassol - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
29.10.25	Fluminense - Ceará	1:0
31.10.22	Ceará - Fluminense	0:1
09.07.22	Fluminense - Ceará	2:1
31.10.21	Ceará - Fluminense	1:0
07.07.21	Fluminense - Ceará	0:0
15.02.21	Ceará - Fluminense	1:3
17.10.20	Fluminense - Ceará	2:2

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