The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 55.3%
Draw 27%
Ceará 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
22.4%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
22.2%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Atlético Mineiro - Ceará Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ceará (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Everson (C) 23. Preciado A. 4. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo 16. Lodi R. 21. Franco A. 8. Maycon 30. Victor Hugo 9. Cassierra M. 11. Bernard 92. Dudu
1. Richard (C) 21. Alex Silva 33. Eder 4. Luiz Otavio 17. Fernando 20. Diego 18. Julio Cesar 7. Pedro Henrique 10. Juan Alano 30. Gustavo Prado 9. Wendel Silva
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 6. Alonso J. 28. Cuello 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 10. Gustavo Scarpa 7. Hulk 17. Igor Gomes 13. Lyanco 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 25. Perez T. 3. Roman I.
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 11. Fernandinho 63. Gilmar 35. Giulio 81. Joao Gabriel 31. Lucas Lima 8. Matheus Araujo 40. Melk 2. Ramos R. 26. Richardson 12. Sanchez 29. Vina
Coaches
Dominguez E.
Mozart
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Richard 🟨,
32', Richard ↓, Bruno Ferreira ↑,
33', Preciado A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Cassierra M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Juan Alano ↓, Vina ↑,
54', Pedro Henrique ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
61', Cassierra M. ↓, Hulk ↑,
61', Maycon ↓, Alexsander ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Wendel Silva ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
67', Victor Hugo ↓, Minda A. ↑,
67', Dudu ↓, Cuello ↑,
69', Wendel Silva 🟨,
70', Franco A. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Lodi R. ⚽, Cuello (A),
79', Julio Cesar ↓, Richardson ↑,
80', Diego ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
82', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
88', Richardson 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ceará is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
Brazil
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Everson (C) 
Preciado A. 
Cassierra M. 
Alonso J. 
Cuello 
Roman I. 
Ramos R. 
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