Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Z'dezele (Celje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	11:45	Disney+
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima TV
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Singapore	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	18:45	Sport TV1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 16
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 18
United Kingdom	17:45	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus


	Celje		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3
	2.18	3.7	3.05
	2.25	3.7	3.13
	2.43	3.31	2.90	Watch
	2.36	3.58	3.05
	2.3	3.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.23)	3.57 ↑ (3.36)	2.98 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
41.5%

Draw
26.6%

Legia Warsaw
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	6.5%	6.5%

Celje - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Legia will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 75.3% – 98.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Celje (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Celje (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Legia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celje will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Celje (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Legia (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leban Z. (G) 6. Tutyskinas A. 44. Bejger L. 2. Juanjo Nieto 23. Karnicnik Z. (C) 7. Jevsenak F. 8. Kvesic M. 11. Avdyli M. 10. Sturm D. 20. Iosifov N. 9. Kovacevic F.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 7. Wszolek P. 12. Pankov R. 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 8. Augustyniak R. 82. Urbanski K. 77. Krasniqi E. 14. Colak A. 30. Stojanovic P.
Substitutes
42. Boben M. 13. Daniel P. 4. Hrka D. 12. Kolar L. (G) 17. Kotnik A. 71. Lisakovich V. 99. Poplatnik M. 94. Pozeg R. 16. Vidovic I. 5. Vodeb G. 3. Vuklisevic D.	50. Banasik W. (G) 4. Burch M. 11. Chodyna K. 22. Elitim J. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 29. Rajovic M. 44. Szymanski D. 53. Urbanski W. 20. Zewlakow J.
Coaches
Riera A.	Astiz I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Urbanski K. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jevsenak F. ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
48', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
52', Kvesic M. 🟨,
59', Avdyli M. ↓, Lisakovich V. ↑,
59', Tutyskinas A. ↓, Vodeb G. ↑,
66', Kapustka B. 🟨,
68', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
68', Stojanovic P. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Iosifov N. ⚽, Kvesic M. (A),
77', 2 - 1, Karnicnik Z. ⚽,
78', Urbanski K. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
78', Bejger L. ↓, Vuklisevic D. ↑,
86', Krasniqi E. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
86', Kapustka B. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
86', Kvesic M. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
87', Zewlakow J. 🟨,

Preview

Celje is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Legia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Knee Injury) Sluga S. (Inactive) Zabukovnik M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Legia: Reca A. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.11.25	Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mura - Celje	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Shamrock Rovers - Celje	0:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.10.25	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Radomlje - Celje	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWTW
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Widzew Łódź - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.10.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLTWL

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