Match Info

LaLiga - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	00:30	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Angola	21:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Belarus	23:00	Belarus 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAX Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	15:00	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	23:00	UpTV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	21:00	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 22


	Celta de Vigo		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.75	Watch
	3.95	4.15	1.82	Watch
	4.18	4.34	1.81
	4.94	4.44	1.60	Watch
	4.31	4.31	1.82	Watch
	5.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (5.13)	4.24 ↓ (4.3)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
21.5%

Draw
22.8%

Barcelona
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

22.1%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

21.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	6.7%	87.6%

Celta de Vigo - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Barcelona (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Celta (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Barcelona (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Barcelona (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (77 of 88 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.59% – 94.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Barcelona (votes: 35 - 94.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 20. Alonso M. 3. Mingueza O. 22. Sotelo H. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 9. Jutgla F. 7. Iglesias B. 18. Duran P.	25. Szczesny W. (G) 24. Garcia E. 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Cubarsi P. 3. Balde A. 21. de Jong F. 17. Casado M. 16. Lopez F. 10. Lamine Yamal 9. Lewandowski R. 14. Rashford M.
Substitutes
4. Aidoo J. 10. Aspas I. 8. Beltran F. 11. Cervi F. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 29. Lago Y. 21. Ristic M. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Rodriguez J. 16. Roman M. 1. Villar I. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.	33. Aller E. (G) 28. Bardghji R. 22. Bernal M. 15. Christensen A. 42. Espart X. 27. Fernandez D. 31. Kochen D. (G) 23. Kounde J. 18. Martin G. 20. Olmo D. 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Lewandowski R. (Pen),
11', 1 - 1, Carreira S. ⚽, Iglesias B. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
42', Cubarsi P. 🟨,
43', 2 - 2, Iglesias B. ⚽, Jutgla F. (A),
45+4', 2 - 3, Lamine Yamal ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mingueza O. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
58', Jutgla F. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
70', Iglesias B. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
74', 2 - 4, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
78', Sotelo H. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
78', Fernandez M. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
79', de Jong F. 🟨,
86', Olmo D. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
86', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
87', Rashford M. 🟨,
88', Rashford M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
89', Lewandowski R. 🟨,
90', Roman M. 🟨,
90+4', de Jong F. 🟨,
90+7', Lamine Yamal ↓, Bernal M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1.

Celta is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barcelona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Alvarez H. (Ankle Injury) Dominguez C. (Ankle Injury) Rueda J. (Muscle Injury) Swedberg W. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Pedri (Muscle Injury) Raphinha (Thigh Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Kounde J. (Overload)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:49. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Levante - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Puerto de Vega - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Club Brugge - Barcelona	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Barcelona - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Barcelona - Olympiacos Piraeus	6:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.25	Barcelona - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.04.25	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	4:3
23.11.24	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:2
17.02.24	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	1:2
23.09.23	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	3:2
04.06.23	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:1
09.10.22	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:0
10.05.22	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	3:1

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