Match Info

LaLiga - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh Sports 1
Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAX Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Celta de Vigo		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.75	Watch
	3.95	4.15	1.82	Watch
	4.18	4.34	1.81
	4.94	4.44	1.60	Watch
	4.31	4.31	1.82	Watch
	5.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (5.13)	4.24 ↓ (4.3)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
21.5%

Draw
22.8%

Barcelona
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

22.1%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

21.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	6.7%	87.6%

Celta de Vigo - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Barcelona (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Celta (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Barcelona (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Barcelona (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (77 of 88 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.59% – 94.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (32 of 33 users predict this - 96.97%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 2 - 5.4%). Barcelona (votes: 35 - 94.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 20. Alonso M. 3. Mingueza O. 22. Sotelo H. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 9. Jutgla F. 7. Iglesias B. 18. Duran P.	25. Szczesny W. (G) 24. Garcia E. 4. Araujo R. (C) 5. Cubarsi P. 3. Balde A. 21. de Jong F. 17. Casado M. 16. Lopez F. 10. Lamine Yamal 9. Lewandowski R. 14. Rashford M.
Substitutes
4. Aidoo J. 10. Aspas I. 8. Beltran F. 11. Cervi F. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 29. Lago Y. 21. Ristic M. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Rodriguez J. 16. Roman M. 1. Villar I. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.	33. Aller E. (G) 28. Bardghji R. 22. Bernal M. 15. Christensen A. 42. Espart X. 27. Fernandez D. 31. Kochen D. (G) 23. Kounde J. 18. Martin G. 20. Olmo D. 7. Torres F.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Flick H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Lewandowski R. (Pen),
11', 1 - 1, Carreira S. ⚽, Iglesias B. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
42', Cubarsi P. 🟨,
43', 2 - 2, Iglesias B. ⚽, Jutgla F. (A),
45+4', 2 - 3, Lamine Yamal ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mingueza O. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
58', Jutgla F. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
70', Iglesias B. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
74', 2 - 4, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Rashford M. (A),
78', Sotelo H. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
78', Fernandez M. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
79', de Jong F. 🟨,
86', Olmo D. ↓, Christensen A. ↑,
86', Balde A. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
87', Rashford M. 🟨,
88', Rashford M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
89', Lewandowski R. 🟨,
90', Roman M. 🟨,
90+4', de Jong F. 🟨,
90+7', Lamine Yamal ↓, Bernal M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1.

Celta is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barcelona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Alvarez H. (Ankle Injury) Dominguez C. (Ankle Injury) Rueda J. (Muscle Injury) Swedberg W. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Pedri (Muscle Injury) Raphinha (Thigh Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Barcelona: Kounde J. (Overload)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:49. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Celta de Vigo	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Levante - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Puerto de Vega - Celta de Vigo	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Osasuna - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Club Brugge - Barcelona	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Barcelona - Elche	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Barcelona - Olympiacos Piraeus	6:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.25	Barcelona - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.04.25	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	4:3
23.11.24	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:2
17.02.24	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	1:2
23.09.23	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	3:2
04.06.23	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:1
09.10.22	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	1:0
10.05.22	Barcelona - Celta de Vigo	3:1

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