Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Kazakhstan	01:00	Kazakhstan TV, Qazaqstan TV
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 3
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus


	Celta de Vigo		Nice

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	5
	1.72	4.05	4.8
	1.82	3.8	4.65
	1.32	4.90	9.74	Watch
	1.75	4.03	5.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.99)	4.14 ↑ (3.65)	5.86 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
59.5%

Draw
23.8%

Nice
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

22.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo's performance.

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	12.9%	4.3%

Celta de Vigo - Nice Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.75 - Nice (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Celta de Vigo will win (58 of 69 users predict this - 84.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.42% – 92.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Nice (votes: 2 - 7.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 8. Beltran F. 16. Roman M. 23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. (C) 18. Duran P. 15. Zaragoza B.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 37. Peprah K. 28. Bah J. 26. Bard M. 92. Clauss J. (C) 20. Louchet T. 99. Abdul Samed S. 2. Abdi A. 25. Cho M. 90. Kevin 8. Sanson M.
Substitutes
11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 7. Iglesias B. 9. Jutgla F. 3. Mingueza O. 6. Moriba I. 21. Ristic M. 14. Rodriguez D. 32. Rodriguez J. 17. Rueda J. 22. Sotelo H. 1. Villar I. (G)	7. Boga J. 39. Coulibaly D. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 33. Mendy A. 48. Monteiro L. 22. Ndombele T. 49. Nguene B. 24. Vanhoutte C. 30. Zelazowski B. (G)
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Aspas I. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Cho M. ⚽, Abdul Samed S. (A),
29', Clauss J. 🟨,
38', Clauss J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cho M. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
46', Alvarez H. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
47', Mendy A. 🟨,
65', Bard M. 🟨,
66', Duran P. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
70', Abdi A. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
70', Sanson M. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
71', Beltran F. ↓, Sotelo H. ↑,
71', Carreira S. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽,
78', Zaragoza B. ↓, Cervi F. ↑,
80', Fernandez M. 🟨,
81', Louchet T. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
81', Kevin ↓, Nguene B. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Celta is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Inactive) El Abdellaoui J. (Illness) Lago Y. (Leg Injury) Swedberg W. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Moffi T. (Calf Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.09.25	Elche - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLL
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
18.10.25	Nice - Lyon	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Monaco - Nice	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Nice	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Nice - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Nice - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTL

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