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Celta de Vigo - Mallorca

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 25
  • Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Estadio de Balaรญdos (Vigo) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
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    Celta de Vigo Mallorca
    Celta de Vigo Mallorca
    1 X 2
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    Bovada 1.8 3.4 5
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85 ↓
    (1.87)    		 3.46 ↑
    (3.34)    		 4.6 ↑
    (4.46)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Celta de Vigo
    51.7%    		Draw
    27.6%    		Mallorca
    20.7%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    50.5% 28.3% 21.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    51.5% 27.7% 20.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    71.8% 7.7% 20.5%

    Celta de Vigo - Mallorca Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 59.7% โ€“ 87.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Mallorca (4.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Celta (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Celta (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celta de Vigo will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mallorca (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. RomaniaRadu I. (G)
    32. SpainRodriguez J.
      4. GhanaAidoo J.
    20. SpainAlonso M. (C)
    17. SpainRueda J.
    16. SpainRoman M.
    15. UruguayVecino M.
    23. SpainAlvarez H.
      8. SpainLopez F.
      9. SpainJutgla F.
    18. SpainDuran P.
    		  1. SpainRoman L. (G)
    23. ArgentinaMaffeo P.
    21. SpainRaillo A. (C)
    24. SlovakiaValjent M.
      3. SpainLato T.
      5. EquatorialMascarell O.
    12. PortugalSamu Costa
      6. SpainSanchez A.
    10. SpainDarder S.
    17. SpainVirgili J.
      7. KosovoMuriqi V.
    Substitutes
    10. SpainAspas I.
      5. SpainCarreira S.
    24. SpainDominguez C.
    39. MoroccoEl Abdellaoui J.
    12. SpainFernandez M.
      7. SpainIglesias B.
      3. SpainMingueza O.
      6. GuineaMoriba I.
    21. SerbiaRistic M.
      2. SwedenStarfelt C.
    19. SwedenSwedberg W.
      1. SpainVillar I. (G)
    		13. FinlandBergstrom L. (G)
    18. SpainJoseph M.
    30. FranceKalumba J.
    19. SpainLlabres J.
    27. SpainLopez D.
    15. AngolaLuvumbo Z.
    22. ColombiaMojica J.
      2. SpainMorey Bauza M.
      8. SpainMorlanes M.
    25. SpainPichu Cuellar (G)
      9. SpainPrats A.
    20. SpainTorre P.
    Coaches
         SpainGiraldez C.
    		     SpainArrasate J.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 12', Muriqi V. 🟨,
    • 44', Duran P. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
    • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
    • 47', Mascarell O. 🟨,
    • 52', Lato T. 🟨,
    • 68', Lato T. ↓, Mojica J. ↑,
    • 68', Mascarell O. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
    • 68', Jutgla F. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
    • 69', Vecino M. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
    • 69', Lopez F. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
    • 77', Muriqi V. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
    • 77', Virgili J. ↓, Torre P. ↑,
    • 79', Rueda J. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
    • 85', 1 - 0, Aspas I. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 86', Sanchez A. ↓, Llabres J. ↑,
    • 88', Arrasate J. 🟨,
    • 90+2', Mojica J. 🟨,
    • 90+5', 2 - 0, Aspas I. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),
    • 90+8', Raillo A. 🟨,
    • 90+8', Iglesias B. 🟨,

    Preview

  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Celta has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Celta is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Celta: Nunez A. (Groin Injury)
  • There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Muscle Injury) Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Celta: Sotelo H. (Ankle Injury)
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Celta won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    9Celta Vigo1026210:7312

    Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Celta Vigo: 0.24%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Celta de Vigo
    UEFA Europa League
    19.02.26 PAOK - Celta de Vigo 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    14.02.26 Espanyol - Celta de Vigo 2:2 ✺
    06.02.26 Celta de Vigo - Osasuna 1:2 ✺
    01.02.26 Getafe - Celta de Vigo 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    29.01.26 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5
    WTLTT
    - RCD Mallorca
    Spanish LaLiga
    15.02.26 Mallorca - Betis 1:2 ✺
    07.02.26 Barcelona - Mallorca 3:0 ✺
    02.02.26 Mallorca - Sevilla 4:1 ✺
    25.01.26 Atlรฉtico Madrid - Mallorca 3:0 ✺
    17.01.26 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 3:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9
    LLWLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    23.08.25 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    05.04.25 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:2
    06.12.24 Celta de Vigo - Mallorca 2:0
    13.01.24 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    16.09.23 Celta de Vigo - Mallorca 0:1
    17.04.23 Celta de Vigo - Mallorca 0:1
    20.01.23 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Celta de Vigo
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.10.26 Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo ✺
    - RCD Mallorca
    Spanish LaLiga2
    02.11.26 Mallorca - Cรกdiz ✺

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