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Espanyol - Celta de Vigo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 24
  • Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday
  • Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)
  • Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)
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    Espanyol Celta de Vigo
    Espanyol Celta de Vigo
    1 X 2
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    betsson 2.68 3.05 2.88 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bet_in_Asia 2.74 3.08 2.96
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    Bovada 2.62 3.1 2.9
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.67 ↑
    (2.34)    		 3.06 ↓
    (3.37)    		 2.9 ↓
    (3.05)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Espanyol
    35.8%    		Draw
    31.2%    		Celta de Vigo
    33%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    40.6% 28.2% 31.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    42.1% 29.2% 30.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espanyol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    37.5% 31.2% 31.2%

    Espanyol - Celta de Vigo Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Celta will win (votes: 9 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 22.5% – 57.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 3 - 50%). Celta (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Celta (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Espanyol (2.13) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Celta (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 4 - 40%). Celta (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SerbiaDmitrovic M. (G)
    23. MoroccoEl Hilali O.
    38. GermanyRiedel C.
      6. UruguayCabrera L. (C)
    22. SpainRomero C.
    18. DRPickel C.
    10. SpainLozano P.
    16. BelgiumNgonge C.
      8. SpainExposito
    11. SpainMilla P.
      9. SpainFernandez Jaen R.
    		13. RomaniaRadu I. (G)
    32. SpainRodriguez J.
      2. SwedenStarfelt C. (C)
    20. SpainAlonso M.
      5. SpainCarreira S.
    16. SpainRoman M.
      8. SpainLopez F.
    17. SpainRueda J.
      9. SpainJutgla F.
      7. SpainIglesias B.
    19. SwedenSwedberg W.
    Substitutes
    24. EnglandDolan T.
      1. SpainFortuno A. (G)
    19. SpainGarcia K.
      4. SpainGonzalez U.
    17. SpainJofre
    20. SpainRoca A.
    15. SpainRubio M.
    12. SpainSalinas J.
      2. SpainSanchez R.
    14. SpainTerrats R.
    30. SpainTristan P. (G)
    		  4. GhanaAidoo J.
    23. SpainAlvarez H.
    10. SpainAspas I.
    18. SpainDuran P.
    39. MoroccoEl Abdellaoui J.
    12. SpainFernandez M.
      3. SpainMingueza O.
      6. GuineaMoriba I.
    21. SerbiaRistic M.
    22. SpainSotelo H.
    15. UruguayVecino M.
      1. SpainVillar I. (G)
    Coaches
         SpainGonzalez M.
    		     SpainGiraldez C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 38', 0 - 1, Jutgla F. ⚽, Rueda J. (A),
    • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
    • 56', Exposito ↓, Gonzalez U. ↑,
    • 56', Ngonge C. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
    • 56', Pickel C. ↓, Dolan T. ↑,
    • 66', 1 - 1, Garcia K. ⚽,
    • 70', Swedberg W. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
    • 70', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
    • 70', Jutgla F. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
    • 72', Milla P. ↓, Jofre ↑,
    • 83', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Terrats R. ↑,
    • 86', 2 - 1, Dolan T. ⚽, Terrats R. (A),
    • 87', Rodriguez J. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
    • 88', Roman M. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
    • 90+3', 2 - 2, Iglesias B. ⚽, Duran P. (A),
    • 90+4', Cabrera L. 🟨,

    Preview

  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 4.
  • Espanyol is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Celta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Espanyol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • There will not play in Espanyol: Calero F. (Muscle Injury) Puado J. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Celta: Nunez A. (Groin Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Espanyol: 0.3% Celta Vigo: 0.3%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    14Celta Vigo71428:627
    15Espanyol721410:1007

    Last Results with these Odds

    Celta de Vigo - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.02.26 Villarreal - Espanyol 4:1 ✺
    30.01.26 Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés 1:2 ✺
    24.01.26 Valencia - Espanyol 3:2 ✺
    16.01.26 Espanyol - Girona 0:2 ✺
    11.01.26 Levante - Espanyol 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2
    LLLLT
    - Celta de Vigo
    Spanish LaLiga
    06.02.26 Celta de Vigo - Osasuna 1:2 ✺
    01.02.26 Getafe - Celta de Vigo 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    29.01.26 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo 1:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    25.01.26 Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo 3:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa League
    22.01.26 Celta de Vigo - Lille 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6
    LTTLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.11.25 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 0:1
    12.04.25 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 0:2
    30.11.24 Espanyol - Celta de Vigo 3:1
    18.03.23 Espanyol - Celta de Vigo 1:3
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    03.01.23 Espanyol - Celta de Vigo 3:1 ET
    Spanish LaLiga
    13.08.22 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 2:2
    10.04.22 Espanyol - Celta de Vigo 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Espanyol
    Spanish LaLiga
    09.10.26 Málaga - Espanyol ✺
    - Celta de Vigo
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Celta de Vigo - Juventus ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Elche - Celta de Vigo ✺

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