Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Connect
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.35	3.75	2.9
	2.34	3.78	2.92
	2.31	3.75	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.8
	2.38	3.62	3
	2.33	3.66	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.91)	3.65 ↑ (3.47)	2.89 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
41%

Draw
26.1%

Celta de Vigo
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's performance.

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.2%	41.7%	11.1%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%). Celta will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 30.9% – 63.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Celta (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Crvena Zvezda (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Celta (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Celta (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 5. Rodrigo 13. Veljkovic M. 23. Tiknizyan N. 22. Kostov V. 21. Elsnik T. 33. Krunic R. 24. Stankovic N. 10. Katai A. (C) 89. Arnautovic M.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 29. Lago Y. 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 10. Aspas I. (C) 7. Iglesias B. 23. Alvarez H.
Substitutes
71. Avdic A. 6. Bajo M. 17. Bruno Duarte 18. Glazer O. (G) 45. Gudelj S. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 20. Handel T. 25. Lekovic S. 37. Lucic V. 7. Milson 49. Radonjic N. 40. Zaric L.	36. Antanon A. 31. Burcio H. 11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 9. Jutgla F. 30. Lopez F. 3. Mingueza O. 21. Ristic M. 1. Villar I. (G) 15. Zaragoza B.
Coaches
Stankovic D.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Roman M. 🟨,
42', Krunic R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kostov V. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
50', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Avdic A. ↑,
61', Katai A. ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
62', Iglesias B. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
62', Aspas I. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
69', Alvarez H. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
73', Lucic V. 🟨,
79', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
79', Stankovic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
82', Rueda J. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
82', Lago Y. ↓, Ristic M. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Bruno Duarte ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Crvena Zvezda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Sremcevic U. (Inactive) Tebo Uchenna F. (Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Jutgla F. (Inactive) Sotelo H. (Red Card) Swedberg W. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Celta: Fernandez M. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Celta Vigo: 4.38%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Malmö - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Debreceni	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Aarau	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Lille	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches