Match Info

LaLiga - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Mallorca		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.88	Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.72	3.1	3.02
	2.68	3.04	2.9	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.8
	2.75	3.06	2.93	Watch
	2.71	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.31)	3.02 ↓ (3.4)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
35.6%

Draw
31.6%

Sevilla
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

27.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mallorca's form might have worsened.

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mallorca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.9%	37.5%	26.6%

Mallorca - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 22 - 35.5%). Sevilla will win (votes: 17 - 27.4%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 37.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 49.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Sevilla (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 15 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Mallorca (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 13 - 86.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .

AH 0 - Mallorca (1.86) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Mallorca (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Sevilla (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Sevilla (votes: 3 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 15 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 27. Lopez D. 24. Valjent M. (C) 22. Mojica J. 5. Mascarell O. 12. Samu Costa 11. Asano T. 10. Darder S. 17. Virgili J. 7. Muriqi V.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 16. Sanchez J. 2. Carmona J. A. 15. Cardoso F. 4. Salas K. 12. Suazo G. (C) 18. Agoume L. 14. Peque 19. Mendy B. 9. Adams A. 17. Maupay N.
Substitutes
13. Bergstrom L. (G) 18. Joseph M. 30. Kalumba J. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 2. Morey Bauza M. 8. Morlanes M. 34. Olaizola J. 9. Prats A. 21. Raillo A. 6. Sanchez A. 20. Torre P.	28. Bueno M. 32. Castrin 21. Ejuke C. 31. Flores A. (G) 22. Gattoni F. 8. Joan Jordan 13. Nyland O. (G) 36. Oso 7. Romero I. 10. Sanchez A. 29. Sierra M. 20. Sow D.
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Muriqi V. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Mascarell O. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Maupay N. ⚽, Peque (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Samu Costa ⚽, Virgili J. (A),
55', Asano T. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
60', Sanchez J. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
60', Peque ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Darder S. ⚽, Muriqi V. (A),
79', Maupay N. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
79', Cardoso F. ↓, Sow D. ↑,
83', Darder S. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
84', Virgili J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
90+1', Agoume L. 🟨,
90+1', Muriqi V. ↓, Prats A. ↑,
90+2', Samu Costa ↓, Torre P. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 1, Torre P. ⚽, Joseph M. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Sevilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Mallorca: Kumbulla M. (Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Costa A. (Injury) Gudelj N. (Yellow Cards) Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Marcao (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury) Vargas R. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Mallorca - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Sevilla - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.87%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
25.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Mallorca - Girona	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLT
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
24.01.26	Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Elche - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
12.01.26	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
18.10.25	Sevilla - Mallorca	1:3
24.02.25	Sevilla - Mallorca	1:1
27.08.24	Mallorca - Sevilla	0:0
22.04.24	Sevilla - Mallorca	2:1
09.12.23	Mallorca - Sevilla	1:0
11.02.23	Sevilla - Mallorca	2:0
15.10.22	Mallorca - Sevilla	0:1

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